Sedgefield
·
Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Starts in
5h 44min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 35% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- P. Neville has a good 23.6% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Kelso on debut 32 days ago, but that came on a faster surface and this is his first attempt on normal ground—a genuine unknown. The jockey-trainer combo is in good form with 21 wins from 82 races together, which counts for something, but a 5-year-old stepping up in grade after just one race faces real questions about class and consistency.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 25% record at this course for D. Skelton. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 6/4, but she's a racecourse debutante with zero prior form, so the shorter price reflects faith in her pedigree and the Skelton yard rather than proven ability. The jockey-trainer combo is elite—544 wins from 2523 races—which does matter, but no amount of stable prowess guarantees a debut winner.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (6/4)
£1 wins £5 · 20% chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
20%
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 14.6% career win rate for D. Bass. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Has been absent for 157 days—the longest gap in this field—and his only run resulted in a fourth-place finish beaten 14 lengths. At just one career race with no wins or top-3 finishes, he remains unproven and there's no sign things have improved during the long absence.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 157 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- G. Sheehan has won 16.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Aged 4, the time when a horse races at its best is short, and this age is not ideal.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut as a 4-year-old, which is a late start and raises questions about his readiness or racing history. No form to assess, no track record—this is a complete lottery without any evidence to work from.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £31.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- S. Corbett wins only 3.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Another 4-year-old making her debut, which is a late start to racing and suggests a slower path to readiness than her rivals. The 25/1 price reflects genuine uncertainty—she has no form whatsoever and no evidence to point toward a breakthrough here.
Racecourse debut