Redcar
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Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
26h 21min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins 11p · 10 Could surprise
240 days without racing. A long break can be a worry
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 240 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- J. Mason wins 10.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 5.3% record at this course for M. & David Easterby. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not raced for 198 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- Has been off the track for 198 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- P. Morris has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.0% overall win rate for D. O'Meara. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 20% win rate at this course for M. Winn. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- D. O'Meara wins only 15.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 10.7% win rate overall, P. Mulrennan is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 9.3% win rate at this course for P. Mulrennan. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Finished 14th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. McDonald has a good 9.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.13 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £6,480 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- D. & Claire Kubler wins 13.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- D. & Claire Kubler has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. Haggas wins 25.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- W. Haggas has won 19.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- W. Haggas has a 25.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 11.9% overall win rate for J. Hart. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 13.8% win rate at this course for J. Hart. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 4.2% career win rate for S. Waugh. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 10.0% overall win rate for S. James. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- D. Menuisier wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Menzies has won 10.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- A 5.7% record at this course for R. Menzies. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.