Plumpton
·
Betty Chantler Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
25h 35min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 1/12
£1 wins 8p · 20% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- P. Hobbs & Johnson White has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
20%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- P. Butler wins 2.9% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- J. Burke wins 30.6% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Last raced 37 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- G. & Josh Moore has won 11.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Finished 11th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.