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Marnier

There is a horse quietly putting together a compelling argument that it is only just finding its best form. Marnier, a 4-year-old trained by the formidable John & Thady Gosden operation out of Newmarket, has two wins from 11 races — roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 races overall — but the numbers that really catch the eye sit further down the page.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Manzanilla
Owner
Normandie Stud Ltd
Rating
84

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
2
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
63.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Over longer distances, between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, Marnier has won 2 of just 5 races. That is a 40% win rate at a trip that clearly suits, and it is the kind of figure that makes you sit up. Most horses at this level are doing well to win 1 in 4 or 5 races across their whole career; Marnier is doing that in a very specific sweet spot of distance, which suggests the team at Gosden's yard have been paying attention. Finding a horse's ideal conditions is half the job in racing, and it looks like they have found them.

The recent form tells an interesting story too. Six races back the results read, from most recent: a win, a third, a sixth, a second, a seventh, and a win. That dip to sixth is the kind of blip every horse has, but bookending the sequence with two victories gives the whole thing a confident shape. Crucially, Marnier won at Sandown Park just this week — raced only yesterday — which means this is a horse in the form of its life right now, not one you are reading about in the past tense.

The partnership with jockey Robert Havlin is an interesting subplot. Together they have raced 9 times and won just once — roughly 1 in every 9 rides together — which is a modest return. Yet Havlin is a deeply experienced professional associated with the Gosden yard for years, and the fact that the team keeps putting him up suggests a level of trust in how he handles this particular horse. That one win they have managed together came at Lingfield Park back in November 2025, Marnier's first career victory.

Behind all of this sits the sheer scale of the Gosden operation. One hundred and forty winners in a single season is not a number you glance past. It means Marnier is not getting attention by default — it is earning it in one of the busiest and most successful yards in British racing.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 40% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Jul
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
13 Jun
3rd
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
15 May
6th
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 6 runners
6 Apr
7th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
4 Nov
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 3 runners
3 Oct
5th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
10 Jun
2nd
Salisbury
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 3 runners
29 May
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
7 May
4th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Robert Havlin Current Jockey
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 3 Jul 50%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Nov 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 third 11 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 second 10 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Apr 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 29 May 0%