Newbury
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Darley Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)
Starts in
2h 59min
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Currently the market favourite and stepping down two class levels from where she usually competes — a significant drop that suggests her trainer expects her to be competitive here. She finished just half a length behind Manaar at this same course 37 days ago, so a direct rematch between these two looks like the crux of the race. Like the rest of the field, she has never raced on dry ground, which adds a layer of uncertainty for everyone.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (2.1)
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TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has already won here at Newbury, and she did it with a perfect record — one race, one win. Trained by William Haggas alongside jockey Tom Marquand, who together win roughly 1 in 5 races they contest, this is clearly a horse held in high regard. The one genuine unknown is dry ground: she has never raced on it, and today will be her first taste of those conditions.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
This horse has been off the track for over 300 days — the longest absence in the field by a wide margin — so ring rustiness is a real concern. When she did run, she finished third at Newbury in a higher class of race, which hints at some ability, but a ten-month break is a significant hurdle to overcome on return. At odds of 11.0, you are being asked to trust that the long layoff has not dulled her edge.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 302 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
Aunt Roberta has just one race to her name and finished sixth in it, beaten nearly ten lengths at this course 37 days ago. With odds of 51.0 and nothing in the form book to build on, she looks like the longest of long shots against two rivals who finished well ahead of her last time. Two races is not much of a sample, but her data so far points firmly in one direction.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Two races in and still without a win or a placed finish, Scarlet Letter has been beaten seven lengths or more on both outings. The jockey-trainer combination of Jack Doughty and David Menuisier has yet to win together in five attempts, and odds of 67.0 reflect how little the market thinks of her chances here. She drops two class levels today, but her form gives little reason to expect a sudden turnaround.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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