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Gowran Park

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Gowran Park
Awaiting result
Jumps race · low hurdles Underrated horse: Bulgaden Castle About 2 miles Very wet, muddy ground 19 runners
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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J. Kennedy · G. Elliott · 4yo · 11st 2lb · Official rating 124
£1 wins £1 · 40 Very strong chance
G. Elliott's horses finish their races 57.1% of the time
Headgear Freshness
40
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds Evens
£1 wins £1 · 40 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey overall win rate ✓ Jockey wins at this course
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 70 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. Elliott's horses finish their races 57.1% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • With a 20.9% win rate overall, J. Kennedy is one of the more dependable riders.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • P. J. Rothwell's runners finish 35.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 66 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • O. McKiernan's horses finish their races 37.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • P. Enright wins only 2.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell's horses finish their races 35% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • A weight of 166 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 125 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell's horses finish 35% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • J. P. Flavin's horses finish 33.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • A 4.5% career win rate for J. Canavan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • P. A. Fahy's horses finish their races 20% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • R. Condon wins 25% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • P. A. Fahy wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 267 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • C. Collins's horses finish their races 30.8% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • A 0% record at this course for C. Collins. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • J. P. Flavin's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • P. Nolan's horses finish 60% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • A 4.8% record at this course for P. Nolan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 152 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 2m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • A. M. O'Grady's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • J. Aherne has a 3.1% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • J. M Burke's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • J. M Burke has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • G. Elliott's horses finish 57.1% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 111 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell's horses finish 35% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 5.1% record at this course for D. Gerard Hogan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.