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Gowran Park

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Gowran Park
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Milan Forth +1 About 2 miles Very wet, muddy ground 14 runners
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • A 5yo+ race looks a good fit. Trainers who enter horses in the right races tend to have a plan.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • W. P. Mullins's horses finish 66.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • W. P. Mullins has a good 28.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Patrick Ryan's horses finish their races 22.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • A 3.7% record at this course for D. King. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • H. De Bromhead's horses finish 36.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Jockey in form (4 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • T. Gibney's horses finish 40% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 33.3% win rate at this course for J. J. Slevin. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • C. Byrnes's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • G. Elliott's horses finish their races 55.8% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 40% of runs)
Why this score
  • T. Dreaper's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • T. Dreaper has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 69 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • P. J. Rothwell's horses finish their races 36.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • T. Power Roche has a good 33.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 4 times
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell's horses finish their races 38.1% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • J. Patrick Ryan's horses finish their races 22.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • H. De Bromhead's horses finish their races 36.8% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • M. O'Connor has a 3.8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • C. Murphy's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
  • C. Murphy has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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