Manoir De Mirande

What stands out in the form is how Manoir De Mirande performs on normal ground. On a standard racing surface, it has won 2 of 6 races — a 33 percent win rate — which is markedly better than its overall record. This is the kind of specific strength that matters to trainers and punters alike. It narrows the window for when this horse will be at its best, but it also gives you something to watch for. Gordon Elliott's Longwood yard, which has already sent out 210 winners this season, clearly sees something in the horse worth running.

One oddity in the record is the relationship with regular jockey Jack Kennedy. They have raced together five times without a win, which suggests either that the pairing hasn't clicked or that Kennedy has been aboard for the tougher assignments. With two wins from the last six races showing promise, the question now is whether Manoir De Mirande can build on recent form and narrow that gap between potential and results. At four years old, the horse is still young enough to improve, and a yard as prolific as Elliott's knows how to get the most out of its runners.