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Ffos Las

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Noah's Ark Christmas Party Race Day Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 1.5 miles Slightly soft ground Entry-level race 8 runners £4187 prize
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
30
Strong chance
Good Value at 6/4
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
D. Probert · H. Morrison · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 70
Form Track
30
Good Value
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has won just once in 13 career races, and that sole success came at this track nearly three months ago—but he's never managed a win on standard ground (0 from 5 attempts) or on right-handed galloping tracks. At 3.75, he's the betting choice, but the form data suggests he should be much longer odds here.
Market favourite (3.75)
Trainer Quotes
May 2025
"He's a half-brother to Kyle Of Lochalsh by Cracksman. He was second last time on the all-weather at Kempton on his first run in a handicap, beaten just a neck by Scarlet Moon. He could be okay. 29-05-25"
H. Vigors(5) · E. Johnson Houghton · 6yo · 9st 8lb · OR 69
Headgear Form
17
Good Value
Wearing blinkers Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection boasts a 31% win rate over 1m4f (4 wins from 13 races)—the strongest record at this exact trip in the field—and just won at Leicester 19 days ago. His main concern is zero wins from 3 starts on good ground, but normal conditions should suit his profile well enough to justify the favourite's case.
Best record at this trip (4 from 13)
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"He won at Kempton last July and has had four seconds since then. He'll be back out in a couple of weeks - he banged a joint, so we had to wait a bit for him. 02-07-25"
T. Fisher · J. S Moore · 6yo · 9st 7lb · OR 68
Headgear Form
17
Good Value
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field (51 races) arrives with genuine momentum: three straight top-3 finishes including a win at Newbury 36 days ago, all on courses that suit his profile. However, he also has zero wins from 3 attempts on good ground and zero from 5 on slow conditions—normal ground today sits awkwardly for him.
Most experienced (51 runs, field avg 23) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2024
"He won by five lengths at Lingfield and went up to a mark of 75. He still ran a nice enough race at Newbury but would probably need to be a bit lower-rated on the grass. He'll win plenty more but he seems to be more of an all-weather horse. He doesn't seem to transfer his all-weather form to grass. He'll be one to follow any time he's on the all-weather. He would still be ahead of the handicapper on that and there'd be a couple of very nice races for him on the all-weather. He's a very big horse and is getting stronger; he'll be a better type of horse with another six months on him. He's one of those late-maturing horses but he's won five races for us, which tells you the ability he's got. 04-07-24"
F. Marsh · C. Hills · 4yo · 9st 7lb · OR 68
Form Track
12
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This 4-year-old filly just broke through for her first career win at Kempton 18 days ago and has now placed in 2 of her last 3 races, showing genuine improvement at the right time. A 20% win rate over her preferred 1m3f–1m4f distances is encouraging, but zero wins from 8 attempts on standard ground is a red flag for today's conditions.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
T. Langley(5) · D. Simcock · 9yo · 9st 6lb · OR 67
Form Track
10
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Loves this ground (42% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
At 9 years old, this horse carries the best record on good ground (5 wins from 12 races) in the field, but today's normal conditions don't suit him at all—he has zero wins from 4 attempts on standard ground. Recent form is respectable (3rd and 2nd in last two starts), but the ground profile makes him a poor fit here despite his overall competitive record.
Best record on this ground (5 from 12)
M. Paetel(3) · E. Dunlop · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 70
Form Ground
9.6
Won 2 of last 5 Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Hibernate has drifted dramatically in the market (from 1.1 to 16.5) despite carrying a rating 4lbs above the field average, suggesting the market has spotted something the ratings haven't. With just one win from his last six races and zero wins on standard ground, he looks vulnerable stepping into a Class 5 contest on normal conditions at this distance.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
D. Hogan · D. Menuisier · 4yo · 8st 13lb · OR 60
Freshness Form
9.5
Fresh (106 days off) Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
This 4-year-old filly is the lowest-rated horse in the field and has been absent for 106 days—by far the longest layoff here—with zero wins from 7 career races. A 3rd-place finish before that long break offers minimal encouragement, and the market rightly has her at 11.0 as a clear outsider.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average Absent 106 days (longest in field)
7 Luan
B. de la Sayette · N. Scholfield · 4yo · 8st 13lb · OR 60
Headgear Form
2.2
Wearing tongue strap Won 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner (8 races) carries the lowest weight and boasts the best career win rate in the field at 25%, but recent form is deeply concerning: he's managed just one win in his last six races and finished 9th at Southwell just 22 days ago. The combination of limited data and deteriorating form makes him a gamble at 19.5.
Carries lowest weight in field Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
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