Ffos Las
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Thomas Arms Llanelli Classified Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Dinah Myte is the only course winner in the field—she has one win from one race at Ffos Las, a significant edge over every rival here. She carries the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8 races, though her recent form is patchy (sixth at Lingfield 17 days ago) and she has never won on ground faster than standard, which is a concern on today's normal surface.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
Castlekeely is a 3-year-old stepping up two classes after finishing second at Yarmouth just 14 days ago, but he carries the same weight disadvantage as Alice's Influence (129 lbs) and has never won in eight career races. The second-place finish was close, but the step up in class combined with an inconsistent form pattern (10th place just two races earlier) makes this a risky promotion.
Steps up 2 classes
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Alice's Influence is the market favourite at 5.5 and carries the lowest weight in the field at 129 lbs, but her recent form is soft—fifth, fourth, third across her last three races with no wins in the past four months. She won once from 11 races and has not won on standard ground (0 from 3 attempts), which raises a serious question about whether the market is overestimating her chances today.
Carries lowest weight in field
Market favourite (5.5)
TrackLab Insight
King Of The Dance runs just seven days after finishing fourth here at Ffos Las, giving him a fitness edge and recent course knowledge that no other horse can match. He has won 2 of 17 races on standard ground (his best surface) and rates 4 lb above the field average, though a significant red flag is his 0 wins from 8 attempts at this track—the editorial selection despite his form curve suggests the bare ratings understate his chance.
Runs again after just 7 days
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2022
"He ran once last year when an encouraging third over 6f at Windsor. He had a few issues after that, hence why he didn't run again until last month when finishing in mid-division at Lingfield. He was ring rusty but has come on in leaps and bounds since and the plan will be for another novice to get a handicap mark - he could be a dark horse for later in the season. 03-08-22"
TrackLab Insight
Launceston is winless from 16 career races with only one place finish—a desperate record made worse by the fact that his trainer and jockey combination has won 13 races from 60 together, yet this horse cannot find the breakthrough. The recent form of 4-4-7-9-9-7 shows he occasionally runs close but consistently fails to deliver when it matters.
Winless from 16 career races
TrackLab Insight
Pebble Dash has failed to win from 18 career races and holds just one place finish—he ran a nose second at Newcastle 34 days ago but could not get the job done. Drawing 10 in a field where low-numbered draws show a 14% win rate versus just 8% for high-numbered draws adds another layer of disadvantage to a horse already struggling to break through.
Winless from 18 career races
TrackLab Insight
Private Officer has been absent for 303 days—by far the longest break in the field—returning from a Class 6 defeat at Kempton where he finished 12th. His one win came at Bellewstown nearly 700 days ago, and stepping back in at this level after such a long layoff is a significant ask, though he does show a 25% win rate over 7f-1m distances in his career record.
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Absent 303 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Eye Of The Water is by far the most experienced horse here with 67 races under his belt, but at 10 years old and with just 3 wins across that entire career, he is clearly a reliable plodder rather than a breakthrough horse. The bigger problem: he has never won on good ground in 19 attempts and hasn't won at this track in 6 recent races, making him a risky principal danger despite his consistency.
Most experienced (67 runs, field avg 20)
TrackLab Insight
Belltony is the top-rated horse in this field but arrives off a 59-day break with zero wins from five races and has finished fifth or worse in all five outings — not the profile you want from your favourite. Stepping up two classes after consistent fifth and sixth-place finishes looks ambitious, and the odds drift from 1.1 to 19.0 suggests the market has spotted the same problem.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below average
Steps up 2 classes
TrackLab Insight
West Hill Rosie has never raced on normal ground before—all six of her career races have come on faster or softer surfaces, making this an unknown test. Winless from six races with just one place finish, she is a complete unknown quantity for today's conditions and represents a genuine experiment rather than a calculated choice.
Never raced on normal ground
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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