Cork
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Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
£1 wins £3.50 · 24 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
24
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 24 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 11.0% overall win rate for J. P. Murtagh. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Carrying 9.1 lbs more than the average for this race. That makes winning harder.
TrackLab Insight
Karrygrant is the lowest-rated horse in the field (7lbs below average) and carries the lightest weight, yet he's also the only runner without a single career win from eight races—though his last three runs were all top-3 finishes, showing he's competitive at this level. He's the definition of a dangerous bridesmaid, but soft ground adds another unknown to an already tricky profile.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- This horse is happy on Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- J. James Feane has a 7.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Playin Cool is an 8-race veteran with one win and a 20% win rate at 1m1f–1m2f distances, which mirrors this trip nicely, but he's never run on soft ground and is trending backwards—5th last time out at the Curragh beaten 9.5 lengths. His baseline is reliable rather than exciting, and today's conditions are unknown territory.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 10.7% overall win rate for Mrs J. Harrington. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's race is over 1m. The distance may not be ideal. If it does not suit, the horse has to fight the race.
TrackLab Insight
Oro Blanco is the market favourite at 4.6 odds and has won 2 of his last 6 races (29% win rate), yet he's never tackled soft ground and has just run 3 days ago—finishing third at the Curragh—which raises serious questions about freshness and readiness. His strength lies on good ground (2 wins from 3 starts), so a softer surface is actually counter to where he thrives.
Never raced on soft ground
Market favourite (4.6)
13
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.4% overall win rate for G. M. Lyons. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 14.6% overall win rate for C. Keane. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- 1m may not be the right distance. Distance is one of the basics, and this one is a worry.
TrackLab Insight
Daler is the most experienced runner here with 20 career races but has never raced on soft ground, and his recent form shows three podium finishes in the last five runs that keep him competitive without screaming 'winner.' The 4-year-old has won twice at 10% and sits at the bottom of the ratings (-3lbs average), which fairly reflects a steady midfield horse rather than a contender.
Never raced on soft ground
Most experienced (20 runs, field avg 9)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Came 16th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Hellorhighwater is the only course winner in the field, having won here before (1 from 1 at Cork), and boasts the standout win rate of 40% across just five races—but he's never touched soft ground and his last run was a dreadful 16th at the Curragh, blown apart by more than 19 lengths. The inconsistency is real: brilliant to useless with nothing in between.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Never raced on soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. J. Lee has a good 14.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 11.3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
Victory Tip is the top-rated horse here by 2lbs and rates well on pedigree—just one win from four races but that 25% win rate is the second-best in the field—yet he's never raced on soft ground and has been away 103 days, making this a real shot in the dark. His last run was a well-beaten 23rd at Ascot, so freshness alone won't guarantee a bounce back.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- 9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- J. G Murphy wins only 5.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Lady Lilac sits 3lbs below the top-rated Victory Tip and the editorial verdict backs her progression over this trip, yet her record reads poorly on soft ground (0 from 3 starts) and on heavy ground (0 from 3)—which is a major problem given today's conditions. Her single career win came at Killarney, but she's picked up only eight places from fifteen races otherwise, making her a serial also-ran rather than a progressive improver.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7.7% overall win rate for A. Slattery. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 5.9% career win rate for A. Browne-Souza. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Bold Style has never touched soft ground in 11 races, which is a genuine concern on a day like this—but his one career win came at the 1m1f–1m2f sweet spot where he's won 1 from 3 times, suggesting he could surprise if conditions don't completely undermine him. The market has turned cold on him (33.0 odds), despite sitting just 5lbs below average, which either means the smart money knows something or he's being heavily overlooked.
Never raced on soft ground
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Thorne wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- J. Kearney has a 7.5% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Son Of Beauty has been away 109 days—the longest absence in the field—and has never raced on soft ground, making this comeback run a genuine roll of the dice. The 3-year-old did win 1 from 6 and has form lines at 1m1f–1m2f (25% win rate there), but that near-four-month layoff is a heavy burden to overcome in an open race.
Never raced on soft ground
Absent 109 days (longest in field)