Cork

Sarahmae is one of just two course winners in the field and has won 5 from 24 races. Recent form shows she was competitive at Cork and Curragh, but her last two starts have been below par (6th at Curragh, 5th at Cork 37 days ago), and she has no wins on quick ground to suggest she'd handle firmer conditions.

Rosie Frith is a course winner at Cork and brings a solid 29% win rate (4 wins from 14 races), matching Kendall Roy as one of the form contenders. However, she's at Listed level for likely the first time, and while her recent Curragh win shows promise, the step up in class and her 37-day-old Cork fourth-place suggest Kendall Roy is the safer option among the top three.

Xerling won at Cork 77 days ago and has three consecutive top-3 finishes, but she's never raced on slightly soft ground and her recent 13th at Naas suggests form is fragile. With just one win from eight races and no proven record on this surface, she's the least reliable among the tipped contenders.

Cardiff By The Sea is the lowest-rated runner and has never raced on slightly soft ground—an unknown that's risky in a small field. With one win from seven races and 71 days since last run, the long layoff and modest record make her an unlikely contender against better-credentialed rivals.

Focaccia runs back after just seven days with only one win in eleven races (9% win rate) and struggles on both left and right-handed galloping tracks. Her recent form at Naas shows 6th and 2nd finishes, but she hasn't convinced against Listed-level opposition and lacks the class to trouble the favourites.