Carlisle
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Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 3.6 and rightly so: she's never finished worse than second in her career (four races, four times in the money) and won at Southwell just 10 weeks ago. Three straight second-place finishes before that win show a horse knocking on the door, and the bookies see her as the obvious danger to the favourite.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (3.6)
TrackLab Insight
The standout here: top-rated by 4 pounds and the only horse in the field with a course win at Carlisle. She's proven on this ground too, winning 1 from 4 on normal conditions, and her career win rate of roughly 1 in 3 or 4 is the best in the field. A recent seventh at Goodwood looks like an outlier against a win here just three weeks ago.
Top rated by 4lbs
Only course winner (1 from 3 here)
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection sits on top weight with the most experience in the field (18 runs versus a field average of 7), but recent form is patchy — a ninth at Ripon 12 days ago and a fourth at York before that. His strength is clear: he wins 2 from 3 on good-to-soft ground, but today's normal conditions may not suit him as well, and he has a poor record on galloping tracks like Carlisle.
Most experienced (18 runs, field avg 7)
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated and the editorial verdict names him as the main danger. What stands out: he's finished in the money in all four of his career races — an extraordinarily reliable record for a three-year-old. However, his last two runs at York show heavy defeats, and he's never raced at Carlisle before.
2nd highest rated (OR 78)
TrackLab Insight
His best record is at this distance — 1 win from 3 — which is helpful, but his last three runs show a horse struggling: beaten 2.5 lengths at Ayr, then further back at Redcar and Thirsk. With just one win from six races overall, he needs to bounce back sharply to trouble the principals here.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Joint second-highest rated on paper, but his recent form tells a very different story: 12th at York just over two months ago was his last race, and before that came two more well-beaten efforts at Thirsk and Ayr. His one win came early in his career, and he wins roughly 1 in 7 races overall — nowhere near sharp enough for this field.
2nd highest rated (OR 78)
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-weighted runner apart from Trust Amy, but his record is weak: one win from eight races at roughly 12%, with a sixth at Catterick his most recent outing 43 days ago. A critical risk sits in the data: he has zero wins from five starts on good ground, and that's today's conditions.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The most dramatic story: just two races, one win and a place — a 50% win rate that's extraordinary. However, he's been off the track for 142 days (longest absence in the field) and has never raced on normal ground before. A genuine wild card if his 10-week break hasn't dulled his sharpness.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 142 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Rated equal to Tip Foster but with far more race mileage (10 starts) and a much poorer return — just one win roughly every 10 races. His last three runs include a seventh at Thirsk just two weeks ago and a tenth at Musselburgh before that, showing he's struggling to find form right now.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated and lowest-weighted in the field, but carrying those advantages hasn't helped her form: she's struggled badly on normal ground (zero wins from 3) and good ground (zero wins from 3), and her last race was a heavy ninth at Wolverhampton 41 days ago. The trainer's optimism after a win last year hasn't translated into current results.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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