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Bath

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Stakes Are Always High Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 1 mile Firm, fast ground Grassroots race 8 runners £3454 prize
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
22
Strong chance
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
F. Marsh · A. Wintle · 4yo · 9st 6lb · OR 52
C&D Form
22
Won at this course & distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite despite only winning twice from 27 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in 14. He ran second here 77 days ago and was close again at Windsor last time, so the upward curve is real, but his record on anything other than firm ground is a string of zeros.
Market favourite (4.2)
J. Leavy · A. Wintle · 8yo · 9st 5lb · OR 51
C&D Form
21
Won at this course & distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 9 times Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The most extraordinary stat in this race: all nine of this horse's career wins have come here at Bath, and he won here just 14 days ago. The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6, and a course record that makes every rival look like a tourist.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
C. Hutchinson · A. Balding · 3yo · 9st 3lb · OR 58
Headgear Form
15
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Our editorial selection for the race, and the second-highest rated horse in the field, which gives her a ratings edge over most rivals. She hasn't won in four career races and hasn't placed once, but she's young and unexposed compared to most here — the argument is that she's still improving, even if she hasn't shown it yet.
2nd highest rated (OR 58)
1 Mbappe
D. Hogan · M. Loughnane · 5yo · 10st 0lb · OR 60
Headgear Form
13
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the race by some margin, and the one with the best record over this exact trip — three wins from 11 races at a mile. However, his last run was a well-beaten seventh, he's had a big market drift today, and he wins on fast ground but has never won on normal conditions, which is a genuine concern.
Best record at this trip (3 from 11)
G. Bass · D. Coakley · 7yo · 9st 9lb · OR 55
C&D Form
11
Won at this course & distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 3 times Won at this distance 5 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in the field — three wins here at Bath, giving him a better record at this track than any other runner. He was third here just 77 days ago and fourth 11 days ago, so the form is recent and relevant, though he's never won on good-to-firm ground which is worth watching.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
L. Morris · R. Harris · 5yo · 9st 0lb · OR 45
C&D Headgear
11.0
Good Value
Won at this course & distance Wearing visor Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Carries the joint-lowest weight in the race, which is an advantage in a handicap, and ran second just seven days ago — so he arrives in form and fresh from a near miss. The concern is that he's raced 30 times with just two wins and has never won on normal or wet ground, and today's jockey has never ridden him before.
Carries lowest weight in field Runs again after just 7 days
5 Rival
C. Bishop · J. & Rhys Flint · 8yo · 9st 3lb · OR 49
Form Track
9.5
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One win from 30 races, and that single victory came almost three years ago — this is the hardest horse to make a case for in the field. Sixth and eighth in his last two runs, he's yet to win at Bath in five attempts, and the jockey-trainer combination hasn't clicked in six races together.
Among the more experienced (30 career races)
A. Rawlinson · A. G Newcombe · 4yo · 9st 0lb · OR 45
Class Freshness
0.7
Dropping in class Fresh (63 days off) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the race, stepping up two class levels, with three runs that have produced finishes of 13th, 11th, and 6th — beaten a long way each time. This is a new jockey-trainer combination with no shared history, and on current evidence this horse faces a very stiff task.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average Steps up 2 classes Lightly raced (3 career races)
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