Mbappe

The horse loves fast, dry ground, winning roughly one in every three races when the surface is firm—nearly triple his overall win rate. Put him on softer going and he struggles. Distance-wise, he's at his best over middle ground between seven furlongs and a mile, winning three of nine races at those distances. Two of his four career victories have come at Kempton Park, and he's been to Lingfield Park five times, winning twice, suggesting he knows how to perform at specific tracks. His last win came on 28 January 2026 at Kempton, though that was eight months ago and he's raced six times since without finding the winner's circle again.

Jockey Billy Loughnane has been aboard Mbappe five times and won twice—a 40 percent win rate that's striking compared to the horse's overall 13 percent. That partnership suggests there's something about the combination that works. Trainer Mark Loughnane, based at Rock Farm in Worcestershire, has had a productive season with 25 winners from the yard, indicating a stable firing well. Mbappe typically competes at Class 6 level, where he has won three of sixteen races, and that's probably where his ceiling sits. He's still active after racing just a day ago, so there will be more chances ahead to find the conditions that suit him—firm ground, a mile or so, and ideally a track where he's won before.