:

The Flying Seagull

There is a horse out there who has found exactly one place on earth that suits him — and he keeps coming back to prove it. The Flying Seagull, a four-year-old trained by Hugo Palmer at Malpas in Cheshire, has managed just 1 win from 19 races over his career, a win rate of around 5%, or roughly 1 in every 20 outings. By the cold numbers, that looks modest. But strip it back, and there is a more interesting story underneath.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodiac
Mother
You'resobeautiful
Owner
Two Plus Three Two Plus Four
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
1
Wins
5.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single win came at Chester on 29 June 2024, and it matters where it happened. Chester is one of the most unusual racecourses in Britain — tight, circular, barely a mile round — and horses that take to it tend to take to it strongly. Hugo Palmer has spoken warmly about how well The Flying Seagull handles the track, calling him a fun sprinter who goes round Chester well. That kind of course form is genuinely useful, because if the right race comes up there again, you know he will not be lost on the track itself.

His recent form has been patchy — a 10th, a 3rd, a 10th, a 4th, a 6th, and a 4th in his last six runs — and he has not won since that Chester day, which is now more than two years ago. At his typical level, Class 4 races, he has won just 1 from 10 attempts, a 10% win rate. Palmer has pointed out, though, that bad draw positions have cost him on more than one occasion, including a run at Southwell where he was likely beaten by where he was placed in the stalls rather than by any lack of ability. That is the kind of detail that matters when you are trying to understand why a horse finishes where he does.

Palmer's yard has been in strong form this season, sending out 67 winners, so this is not a forgotten horse gathering dust. He raced just a day ago, and there is already a target in mind — a qualifying race at Lingfield that Palmer mentioned specifically as something to aim for. The Flying Seagull may not be a horse whose name ends up in the history books, but he is a live, active sprinter with a trainer who clearly has a plan for him and a track record that tells you Chester is worth watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
10th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
21 Jun
3rd
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
5 Jun
10th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
18 May
4th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
23 Mar
6th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
16 Feb
4th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
28 Jun
5th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
16 Jun
3rd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
24 May
10th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
7 May
5th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jason Watson Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Zak Wheatley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
6 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 11 Jul 16.7%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 18 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Mar 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 third 21 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 15 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 24 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 24 May 0%