The most important relationship in his young career so far is with trainer Declan Carroll. All four of Smith's winners have come from the 27 rides Carroll has put him on, a win rate of around 1 in every 7 — and that kind of loyalty from a trainer matters enormously at this stage. When yards keep booking a young jockey, it means they trust what they're seeing at home on the gallops, not just on race day.
Within that partnership, one horse stands out. Smith has ridden Fortunate Star in 11 races together, winning twice — that's nearly 1 in every 5 outings, well above his overall average. Eleven rides on the same horse is a real working relationship, and the fact that he keeps getting the call suggests the team believes he brings something out of that particular horse.
One early pattern worth watching: on normal ground conditions, Smith wins at a noticeably higher rate — 2 wins from just 8 races, which works out at 1 in every 4. That's a small sample, but it hints that when conditions aren't extreme, he tends to get more out of his mounts. Whether that holds as his career develops will be interesting to track.
He is still carrying a 7lb claim — the weight allowance given to the most inexperienced riders — which means trainers effectively get a discount for booking him. That makes him an attractive option for yards looking to get a horse into a race with less weight on its back. The challenge, as always, is converting that opportunity into winners before the allowance shrinks and the training wheels come off. On current evidence, he is building the right foundations.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Thirsk | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Newcastle | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Pontefract | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Haydock Park | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Hamilton Park | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Catterick Bridge | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% |