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The Caltonian

There's a horse who has turned one particular racetrack into something close to a personal fiefdom. The Caltonian has won 6 of its 18 races at Newcastle — that's a third of every race it has ever run there ending in victory, which is a frankly extraordinary record for any horse at any track. To put that in context, its overall career win rate is 7 from 43 races, or roughly 1 in every 6. At Newcastle, it wins 1 in every 3. Something about that track simply suits this horse in a way that defies easy explanation, and at this point the pattern is too consistent to ignore.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Swiss Spirit
Mother
Azelle
Owner
John Murphy & Miss L A Perratt
Rating
93

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
43
Career races
7
Wins
16.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
51 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 6 furlongs · Standard all-weather surface · 10 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the Newcastle record even more striking is the quality of those wins. Two of them have come in Class 2 races — among the better races you'll find in Britain — on 1 January 2025 and again on 16 January 2026. Winning that level once could be a good day. Winning it twice, at the same venue, a year apart, suggests a horse that genuinely belongs at that level when the conditions align. The career has earned £74,000 in total, which confirms this is a horse mixing it at a decent standard rather than scraping around in lower-grade races.

That said, there's a real puzzle buried in the record. Step The Caltonian up to Class 3 races — technically one rung below Class 2 — and it has won precisely none of its 13 attempts. Zero from 13. How a horse can win at a higher level yet go blank at a slightly lower one is the kind of quirk that keeps racing fans up at night. The most likely explanation is that Class 2 races at Newcastle happen to be run on the all-weather surface there, in conditions that suit this horse perfectly, while those Class 3 efforts have come elsewhere or on different ground.

On normal ground conditions the record reads 7 wins from 21 races — exactly 1 in 3 — which again tells you this horse is at its best when everything clicks into place. Jockey Jonny Peate has been aboard for 12 of its races and has won 3 of them, a win rate of 25%, or 1 in every 4 rides together — comfortably better than average. Trained by Linda Perratt out of East Kilbride in South Lanarkshire, the yard has been in fine form this season with 19 winners sent out. The Caltonian last ran 51 days ago, so a short break is behind it. Whether it returns to Newcastle is the only question that really matters.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 7 wins from 21 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Newcastle: 6 wins from 18 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Ayr in 16 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Feb
13th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
16 Jan
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
9 Dec
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
17 Nov
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
30 Oct
11th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
18 Aug
7th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
14 Aug
12th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
21 Jul
10th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 19 runners
7 Jul
8th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
18 Apr
11th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
3/12
Won / Rode
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ryan Kavanagh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
18 6 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 8 other 6 Feb 33.3%
Ayr
Galloping
16 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 11 other 18 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 seconds 19 Dec 33.3%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 23 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%