Siam Fox

Great Yarmouth is where Siam Fox becomes a different animal. He has won 2 of his 4 races there, which is a remarkable return for a horse whose wider record is so much more modest. For context, most horses at his level win somewhere between 1 in 8 and 1 in 10 races across their careers — Siam Fox at Yarmouth wins 1 in 2. Whether it is the tight turns, the flat Norfolk terrain, or something less easy to explain, the track suits him in a way that few others do. His the yard clearly know it: his most recent run was there, and it ended in the winner's enclosure.

His best work comes over a mile and a bit — between 1m1f and 1m2f — where he has posted all 4 of his career wins from 23 races at those distances, a win rate of 17%, or roughly 1 in 6. That is noticeably better than his overall record. He also goes well on fast, dry ground, winning 2 of 11 races in those conditions — again, better than his career average. The profile is consistent: get him to Yarmouth, over the right distance, on a dry summer track, and you have a horse with a genuine chance.

Siam Fox races for the Averham Park yard of Kevin and Lauren Frost in Nottinghamshire, a small operation that has sent out 3 winners this season. J F Egan takes the ride most often, with 1 win from 7 attempts together — a win rate of 14%, which is above the horse's own career average and suggests a partnership that works. His recent form reads 9-1-6-12-7-6, with that second place sandwiched between some difficult days, but the win three weeks ago keeps the season alive. At eight years old, Siam Fox is not a horse you build dreams around — but at Great Yarmouth in summer, he is absolutely one to watch.