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Rogue Allegiance

Rogue Allegiance is a 4-year-old with genuine promise but a frustratingly patchy record. He has won 3 of his 16 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 starts — and picked up 8 places besides, which tells you he is consistently competitive without quite nailing things down. The horse has shown recent form too: he has won 2 of his last 6 races, including a victory at Kempton Park 8 weeks ago, and in his three most recent runs he has finished first, first, and second. That kind of sequence suggests he is on an upswing.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodiac
Mother
Dame Judi
Trainer
Owner
The Rogues Gallery
Official rating
80

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
13 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His breakthrough came at Newcastle back in December 2024, and trainer James Owen was impressed by how thoroughly the horse went about winning that day. Owen is based in Newmarket and has sent out 205 winners this season, so he knows what he is doing. The trainer sees real physical scope in Rogue Allegiance — size and frame that suggests a miler rather than a sprinter — and his work at home has been consistently strong. However, there is a cautionary note. When Owen stepped him up in class for a run at the Greenham, a proper test, the horse ran too keenly early on, which cost him dearly. It is a common problem with improving horses: they get excited and blow their chance before the race proper even starts.

The lesson seems clear. Rogue Allegiance performs best at Class 4 level, winning 1 of his 5 races at that grade (20%), and Owen's plan is to drop back to the shorter six-furlong distance and give him time to settle. That is a trainer who is thinking tactically rather than asking too much too soon. At just four years old with a winning record and recent form on his side, Rogue Allegiance has time to work things out. The next few races will tell whether Owen's patience and sense of distance — stepping him back from attempts at longer races — can unlock something better still.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Ok
7F – 1M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
8th
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
19 Sep
14th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
12 Aug
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 10 runners
23 Jul
🏆 Won
Great Yarmouth
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
26 Jun
2nd
Great Yarmouth
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
20 May
2nd
Great Yarmouth
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
21 Apr
3rd
Great Yarmouth
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
13 Apr
2nd
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
23 Jan
6th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
29 Dec
9th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Harry Davies Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 5 Oct 20%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 29 Dec 33.3%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Aug 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 2 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 6 Nov 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Jan 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 13 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Sep 0%