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Roarin' Success

Roarin' Success is a 6-year-old horse with the kind of record that suggests real ability lurking beneath the surface — five wins from 31 races is respectable, but the detail is what makes this horse interesting. She's a creature of very specific conditions and top-3 finishes. Put her on fast, dry ground and her win rate jumps to one win in every four races (2 from 8), which is genuinely strong form. Drop her onto wet or muddy ground and she struggles. Even more telling: send her to race over longer distances of two miles or more, and she wins roughly one in every three races (2 from 6). The pattern is clear — this is not a horse lost in the field. She is a specialist.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Roaring Lion
Mother
Random Success
Owner
Hale Racing Lyle Farming Company Ptnr
Official rating
104

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
31
Career races
5
Wins
16.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Stratford-on-Avon is her kingdom. She has won two of her four races there, most recently in July this year, three months ago. That's the kind of course record that means trainers plot a path to get her back there whenever the ground is right. Trained by Donald McCain's powerful Cheshire yard — which has already sent out 55 winners this season — Roarin' Success appears to be managed with this understanding of his preferences in mind. Her recent form has been solid: she finished in the top 3 in four of her last six races (most recent: 3rd, 2nd, 3rd, 1st, 1st, 5th), with two wins in that stretch. She raced just yesterday, which means she is actively campaigned and still being targeted at opportunities where she should win.

The caveat is her record in Class 4 races — the bread-and-butter level where she most often competes — sits at just one win from 12 attempts (8%). It suggests that even when conditions suit her, she is not a banker. But the best version of Roarin' Success, running on firm ground at Stratford over distance, is a horse worth following. His jockey of choice, Trevor Whelan, has yet to taste success aboard him (0 from 10 rides together), which hints that Roarin' Success may simply need the right hand in the saddle on the right day to unlock something more.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
3rd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
5 Oct
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
8 Sep
3rd
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
19 Jul
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
29 Jun
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
16 May
5th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
25 Apr
7th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
10 Apr
4th
Thirsk
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
24 Feb
4th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
15 Jan
2nd
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/10
Wins / rides
Charlie Maggs
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Theo Gillard Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
4 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third 17 Oct 50%
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 10 May 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Nov 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 seconds 23 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 31 Jul 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 2 other 24 Feb 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Nov 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 15 Jun 100%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 third 8 Sep 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 second 15 Jan 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Dec 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%