Kondratiev Wave

Kondratiev Wave is a nine-year-old who has found his level as a solid midfield competitor, winning 4 of his 63 races but proving far more valuable as a place-getter—he has finished in the first three in 26 outings. His win rate of roughly 1 in every 16 races sounds modest until you understand where he competes: in Class 6, the bread and butter of British racing, he wins about 1 in every 9 races (4 wins from 37), which marks him as genuinely effective at his grade. What makes Kondratiev Wave interesting is not frequency but specificity. He is a course specialist at Brighton, where he has won 3 of his 16 races—a 19% win rate that stands out sharply against his overall record. That success at Brighton, combined with his last victory there on 8 October 2024, suggests the track suits his running style. He also thrives on fast, dry ground: he wins roughly 1 in every 7 races when conditions are firm, compared to his career average. Over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, he has won all four of his races from 42 attempts (a 10% win rate), indicating he finds his best rhythm at that trip.Based on TrackLab's analysis