:

Kings Merchant

Five years old and hitting form at exactly the right moment, Kings Merchant is a horse that rewards patience. With 5 wins and 11 places from 29 races — a win rate of around 1 in every 6 outings — this isn't a horse that dominates, but one that finds a way to deliver when conditions suit. And right now, conditions are suiting just fine: Kings Merchant won at Chester just this week, the most recent of six runs that reads 1-2-8-7-4-6 from latest to earliest. Strip away the couple of poor efforts in the middle of that sequence and what you have is a horse that has rediscovered its best form at exactly the right time.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Rhossili Down
Owner
G Harrison
Rating
61

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
29
Career races
5
Wins
17.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The Chester win is worth dwelling on. Chester is one of the most unusual racecourses in Britain — tight, flat, and almost perfectly circular — and horses that handle it tend to be agile, quick-thinking types rather than raw gallopers. Winning there says something about Kings Merchant's adaptability, especially given that the horse also has a strong record at Thirsk, winning 2 of 6 races there. Two very different tracks, two genuine course records: that's not luck, that's a horse that travels well and thinks on its feet.

Dry ground brings out the best in Kings Merchant. On fast or firm ground, the record reads 3 wins from 9 races — that's 1 in every 3, which is a sharp improvement on the overall average. Trainer Philip Kirby, who operates out of East Appleton in North Yorkshire and has sent out 36 winners already this season, will know that when the sun has been out and the ground is riding quick, Kings Merchant becomes a very different proposition.

Much of that improvement has come with Callum Rodriguez in the saddle. The pair have built a genuine partnership over 13 races together, producing 4 of Kings Merchant's 5 career wins — a win rate of 31%, or just under 1 in every 3 rides. That is a striking number and suggests Rodriguez understands exactly how to place and pace this horse. The first career win came at Wolverhampton back in March 2024, and the journey since has been steady rather than spectacular. But with a win already banked this week and the yard in excellent form, Kings Merchant looks like a horse to keep close tabs on while the good weather holds.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Yet to win at Newcastle in 6 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
3 Jul
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
16 Jun
8th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
29 May
7th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
11 May
4th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
1 May
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
18 Apr
5th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
27 Mar
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
12 Mar
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
28 Sep
11th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
30.8%
Win rate
4/13
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Dale Swift Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Thirsk
Galloping
6 2 wins, 4 other 16 Jun 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 4 other 1 May 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
3 3 other 29 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Mar 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 3 Jul 50%
Chester
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 10 Jul 50%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Jul 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 second 28 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 11 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Jun 0%