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Hectic

There is a horse at Liam Bailey's yard in Middleham that has taken its time to find consistency, but when the conditions click into place, it shows exactly why the team have kept faith with it. Hectic is a six-year-old with 3 wins and 7 places from 32 races — a win rate of just under 1 in every 10 — but those raw numbers hide a horse that is genuinely capable when racing over its preferred distances.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Massaat
Mother
Ceedwell
Owner
Mrs Ailsa Stirling
Rating
69

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
32
Career races
3
Wins
9.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
21.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The key to Hectic is the trip. Over five to six-and-a-half furlongs, this horse has won 3 of its 13 races — that is nearly 1 in every 4, which is a meaningfully different horse from the one that has failed to win any of its 10 races at the higher Class 4 level. It is the kind of split that tells you the horse has real ability, it just needs everything to fall right. Bailey himself has spoken about how physically imposing Hectic is — a heavy-set, strong type — and that physical presence seems to suit the shorter, more explosive distances rather than anything that asks for stamina.

The first win came at Newbury in July 2022, and Bailey was enthusiastic afterwards, noting that the horse was straightforward to train, almost self-managing, and that there was plenty of improvement still to come. The jockey that day felt the ground was decent underfoot, though Bailey was confident the horse would go even better on faster, firmer ground. That early promise pointed toward good-quality races further down the line. Since then, progress has been uneven — Bailey has previously spoken about the horse taking time to recover mentally after a difficult run, which explains some of the patchy form across the career record.

The most recent win came at Ripon in June 2025, so the clock has been ticking for over a year without a return to the winner's enclosure. The last six races read 9-4-4-14-7-5, and while the two fourth-place finishes suggest the ability is still there, the horse is clearly hunting for the right opportunity. Billy Garritty, who rides Hectic most often, has won 1 of their 6 races together — roughly 1 in 6 — which is a reasonable record without being exceptional. Bailey's yard has sent out 17 winners this season, so the stable is in decent form. Whether Hectic can add to that tally soon may come down to finding the right race at the right distance.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 23% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Yet to win at York in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Doncaster in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Jun
5th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
8 Jun
7th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
9 May
14th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
21 Apr
4th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
6 Mar
4th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard
15 Jun
9th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
4 Jun
🏆 Won
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
31 May
4th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
17 May
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
13 Apr
11th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
6 6 other 31 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 17 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 19 Aug 33.3%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 3 other 8 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Oct 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 5 Aug 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Jun 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Apr 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Mar 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%