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Dragon Leader

Dragon Leader is a five-year-old with a big-race pedigree on his CV and a trainer quietly confident he can rediscover his best. Four wins from 15 races — roughly 1 in every 4 — might not sound spectacular on paper, but the quality of those victories is what matters here. In the summer and autumn of 2023, this horse won back-to-back top-level races, taking a Class 2 at York in August and then a Class 1 at Redcar in October. Those are not flukes — those are serious races against serious horses.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
El Kabeir
Mother
Sweet Dragon Fly
Trainer
Owner
Kennet Valley Syndicates III
Official rating
81

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
15
Career races
4
Wins
26.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
53.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
162 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Dragon Leader's record particularly interesting is how surgically good he is over shorter distances. At five to six-and-a-half furlongs, he has won 4 of just 5 races — an extraordinary 80% record. That is a horse who genuinely thrives in his ideal conditions rather than just stumbling into form. Clive Cox, who trains him out of Lambourn and has sent out 48 winners already this season, briefly entertained thoughts of Group company after York. Jockey Ryan Moore rode that win, and Cox was quick to praise stable hand John Fahy for getting the horse to the track in such shape. After Redcar, jockey Richard Kingscote called him "a sweet, likeable horse" — which in racing terms is the kind of thing people say about a horse they genuinely enjoy being around.

The honest part of the story is that Dragon Leader has not won in six races now, a drought stretching back 32 months to that Redcar success. He has finished second and third in that time, so he has not fallen apart entirely — but he has also crossed the line thirteenth and eighth in that sequence, and his most recent run saw him drawn in stall 14 at Newbury's Spring Cup, which Cox has admitted made life very difficult before the race even began. After a disappointing spell last season, the horse was gelded and had a minor wind operation — practical steps that suggest the team still believes there is a proper horse in there worth finding again.

At Class 2 level, where he typically competes, he has won just 1 from 7 races — around 14% — which is a more realistic benchmark than his headline numbers suggest. But Dragon Leader raced just yesterday, so he is firmly in the mix. Cox says he is training nicely, and there is enough in the record to believe another good day might not be far away.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 80% win rate

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good (a little give)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
16 Apr
5th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
20 Mar
3rd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
7 Mar
6th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard
12 Apr
13th
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
10 Aug
8th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
31 Jul
10th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
20 Jun
10th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 32 runners
25 May
10th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
10 May
3rd
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 wins 10 Aug 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 16 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 31 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Mar 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 win 24 Aug 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 7 Oct 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 9 May 0%