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Bonito Cavalo

There's a horse in Jim Goldie's Lanarkshire yard that owns Newcastle racecourse like a home landlord. Bonito Cavalo has won 6 races from just 13 visits to the track — that's nearly 1 in every 2 times he shows up there, a remarkable record that would make most racehorses blush. All 6 of his career wins have come at Newcastle, and all 6 have come on normal ground conditions. He is, in other words, a horse who knows exactly what he likes and delivers spectacularly when he gets it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Orientor
Mother
Eternal Instinct
Trainer
Owner
Whitestonecliffe Racing Partnership
Rating
46

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
42
Career races
6
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The seven-year-old built his reputation quickly. His first win came at Newcastle in January 2024, and he kept rolling from there, picking up his most recent victory at the same track in March 2024. At that point he looked like a horse on the rise — progressive, consistent, exciting. Then things went sideways. Goldie has since revealed that Bonito Cavalo picked up a physical problem and then, with typically bad timing, made it worse by kicking a wall. That kind of setback can shelve a horse for months, and it did. It has now been 28 months since his last win.

His recent form makes uncomfortable reading — finishing 8th, 10th, 9th, 7th, 8th and 11th across his last six races, none of them close. But context matters here. Goldie spoke warmly about the horse as recently as May this year, saying he's back cantering and that the long break might actually have helped. Sprinters — short-distance horses — often keep filling out physically as they age, and Goldie believes the time away could see him come back stronger rather than rustier.

The partnership with jockey Paul Mulrennan is worth noting too. Together they have won 6 of their 23 races — that's 26%, or roughly 1 in every 4 times they team up. In a sport where a 1-in-10 win rate is considered solid, that kind of chemistry between horse and rider is genuinely significant. Bonito Cavalo has spent most of his career competing at the lower end of the racing ladder, winning 5 of 22 races at that level — roughly 1 in 4 — which tells you he's a reliable performer when the conditions suit, even if he's never been asked to mix it with the big names.

The question now is simply whether he can rediscover that 2024 form. Newcastle, normal ground, Mulrennan in the saddle — get those three things together and there's a horse here capable of turning heads again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 6 wins from 13 starts (46%)
Course specialist at Newcastle: 6 wins from 13 starts (46%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 12 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Ayr in 12 attempts
Yet to win at Musselburgh in 10 attempts
Yet to win at Hamilton Park in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 15 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Jul
8th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
30 Jun
10th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
13 Apr
9th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
6 Mar
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
6 Feb
8th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
10 Jan
11th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
13 Dec
10th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
30 Sep
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 14 runners
14 Sep
9th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
21 Aug
13th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
26.1%
Win rate
6/23
Won / Rode
Lauren Young
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
13 6 wins, 7 other 13 Apr 46.2%
Ayr
Galloping
12 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 8 other 5 Jul 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
10 2 thirds, 8 other 30 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
5 2 thirds, 3 other 29 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%