Baileys Warrior

The numbers are honest about where this horse sits. A 4% win rate across 25 races at Class 6 — roughly one win in every 25 attempts at that level — is a reminder that even at the bottom of the ladder, racing is competitive. But there are flickers of something better. Over long distances of two miles or more, Baileys Warrior wins 1 in every 8 races, a 12% rate that is meaningfully sharper than its overall record. That is not a coincidence — it suggests a horse that needs time and space to get into a rhythm, one that suits a staying test rather than a sharp sprint.

The partnership with jockey Robert Havlin is worth noting. In five races together, they have won once — a 20% win rate that stands out brightly against the broader career record. That one win, at Wolverhampton, came in that combination, which suggests the pairing suits the horse well. Recent form makes for tough reading — tenth, tenth, eleventh, and a fourth are the highlights of the last six races — but Baileys Warrior raced just yesterday, so the yard clearly believes there is still something to aim at.

Thomas Faulkner's operation, based in Devauden in Monmouthshire, has sent out 16 winners this season, which shows this is a yard with horses capable of winning. Baileys Warrior may not be the stable star, but it is clearly still being pointed at races where the yard believe it can be competitive. At 8 years old, with wet or testing ground potentially still to come this season, a long-distance test at Wolverhampton — where it has already proved it can win — might yet offer the chance of a second career victory.