Baileys Warrior

Where Baileys Warrior has come closest to its best is over longer distances. On the 2-mile-plus trips that suit it, the horse has won one from eight races — a 12.5% win rate that stands out against its dismal overall record of just 1 win from 30. Its trainer, Thomas Faulkner, who runs a yard at Devauden in Monmouths, has shown some competence this season with 16 winners sent out, but Baileys Warrior remains frustratingly out of reach. The horse typically races in the lower divisions, competing in Class 6 races where it has mustered only that single win from 25 attempts.

Robert Havlin has been the most successful pilot, with one win from five rides — a respectable 20% return that suggests the jockey understands the horse's capabilities. Yet even that partnership has not translated into regular victories. At eight years old, with two years since its last win and a career win rate of just 3.3%, Baileys Warrior is a horse that has struggled to deliver what its the yard hoped. It remains active and racing, but the numbers suggest it operates at the margins of the sport, a horse that flies without catching up.