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Arabian Cobra

There is something quietly satisfying about a horse that finds its way back. Arabian Cobra is a four-year-old with two wins from 20 races — a win rate of around 1 in 10 — but the bare numbers don't tell the full story of what has been a genuinely eventful couple of years.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Dark Angel
Mother
Dr Simpson
Owner
Mrs S M Maine
Rating
78

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
2
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His trainer Hugo Palmer has been candid about what went wrong. Running Arabian Cobra in the Windsor Castle Stakes as a younger horse — a prestigious, high-pressure race — knocked the stuffing out of him. Confidence in racehorses is a real and fragile thing, and it took months of careful work, including time schooling alongside younger horses, to bring him back to himself. When he did come back, he came back quickly: two wins in the space of a week in June 2025, first at Thirsk and then at Chester. That Chester win was particularly meaningful given everything that had happened to get him there.

On normal ground, Arabian Cobra is a different animal. He has won 2 of his 9 races in those conditions — roughly 1 in every 4 or 5 — which is a genuinely solid record and well above his overall average. At Class 5 level, the bread-and-butter tier of British racing, he has won 2 of his 8 races, again around 1 in 4. That tells you he is competitive and reliable when conditions suit and the race fits him properly.

The season hasn't been entirely smooth. Palmer admitted that a run in the Ayr Bronze Cup — a tougher race against older, more experienced horses — left him baffled. Arabian Cobra simply never got involved. His recent form reads 10th, 25th, 6th before those two placed efforts and a win, which suggests he can be inconsistent, and his trainer has confirmed he is entered in the sales, so this chapter may be drawing to a close.

Still, trained out of Adrian Wintle's yard in Westbury-on-Severn — a stable that has sent out 28 winners this season — Arabian Cobra has shown enough in 2025 to suggest he is a horse that just needed to be understood. He raced just yesterday and remains active. Whatever comes next, the story of how he was rebuilt into a winner is the most interesting thing about him.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Apr
10th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
19 Sep
25th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
30 Aug
6th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
26 Jul
3rd
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
7 Jul
3rd
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
13 Jun
🏆 Won
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
6 Jun
🏆 Won
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
28 May
2nd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 14 runners
5 Apr
10th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
1 Mar
3rd
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
David Probert Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 30 Aug 25%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 1 Mar 0%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 19 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 23 Jan 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Jun 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 25 May 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 second 28 May 0%