:

Paul Nolan

Four years into his training career, Paul Nolan has quietly built a record that rewards paying close attention. Since taking out his licence in 2021, he has sent out 89 winners — and in the last 12 months alone, 22 of those have come from 264 runners, meaning he wins roughly 1 in every 12 races he enters. That is not a flashy number, but in a sport where most runners finish second or worse, consistency at that level across a full season is how reputations are made.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Role
Trainer
Based
Enniscorthy, Co. Wexford
Record
22 wins from 264 races
Win rate
8.3%
Top jockey
Best course
Wexford (13.9% from 36 races)
Best going
Soft (muddy)

📊 Key Numbers

A snapshot of this trainer's performance over the last 12 months
264
Races
22
Wins
8.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Trainer Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline achievement so far is a pair of top-level wins, both coming at Doncaster — and both, remarkably, on the same day: 24 January 2026. Winning one of the biggest races in British racing is a career landmark for any trainer. Winning two in a single afternoon at the same track suggests something more than fortune. It points to a yard that arrived at Doncaster that day knowing exactly what it had.

When the weather turns and the ground gets wet and muddy, Nolan's horses noticeably improve. On soft or heavy ground, they win 5 from 33 races — that is 15%, or roughly 1 in every 7. Compare that to his overall rate of 1 in 12, and it is clear this is a trainer whose horses are prepared to handle conditions that others struggle through. That is a skill, not a coincidence.

His most productive working relationship is with jockey Sean O'Keeffe, who has ridden 8 winners from 59 races for the yard — winning at 14%, or almost 1 in every 7 rides. That is nearly double Nolan's overall win rate, which tells you the two have developed a real understanding of when and how to deploy their best efforts together. One partnership that has not clicked yet is with Tyson, who has gone 10 races without a win alongside Nolan — a reminder that not every combination finds its moment straight away.

Still only four years in, Nolan has already reached the top level twice and shown a clear talent for wet-ground preparation. The foundation is there.

📈 Form Trend

How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
11.5%
May
14.3%
Jun
10.5%
Jul
0%
Aug
6.7%
Sep
10%
Oct
8.8%
Nov
3.0%
Dec
23.1%
Jan
9.1%
Feb
3.7%
Mar
0%
Apr

🎯 Where This Trainer Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding
Yielding
Soft to heavy
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Ok
Yielding to soft
Ok
Good to soft
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Loves
Class 2
Class 3
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

The riders they work with most, sorted by rides together
Sean O'Keeffe First Choice
13.6%
Win rate
8/59
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
3/33
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
3/33
Won / Rode
3.0%
Win rate
1/33
Won / Rode
5.6%
Win rate
1/18
Won / Rode
23.1%
Win rate
3/13
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Philip Donovan
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Peter Smithers
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

Top Horses

The strongest horses currently associated with this trainer
Form: 4889P5
Form: U69645
Form: 378953
Form: 8-2313
Form: 2-2121
Form: 0-57U
Form: F70961
Form: P2-115
Form: 21-586
Form: 43-121

🏟 Course Record

Win rate at each course, sorted by number of races
CourseRacesWinsWin rate
Wexford 36 5 13.9%
Fairyhouse 32 3 9.4%
Leopardstown 24 1 4.2%
Limerick 17 2 11.8%
Punchestown 16 2 12.5%
Cheltenham 15 0 0%
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3%
Galway 12 0 0%
Navan 11 0 0%
Naas 11 0 0%
Cork 8 2 25%
Clonmel 8 1 12.5%
Listowel 8 1 12.5%
Down Royal 7 1 14.3%
Downpatrick 6 1 16.7%
Tipperary 6 0 0%
Ballinrobe 6 0 0%
Thurles 5 0 0%
Roscommon 5 0 0%
Dundalk 5 0 0%
Tramore 3 0 0%
Doncaster 2 2 100%
Kilbeggan 2 0 0%
Sligo 2 0 0%
Bellewstown 2 0 0%
The Curragh 1 0 0%
Newbury 1 0 0%
Killarney 1 0 0%

📅 Recent Results

The last 20 results, most recent first
4 Apr
Fairyhouse · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft
4 Apr
Fairyhouse · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft
31 Mar
Limerick · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
3rd
22 Mar
Naas · 7f – 1m · Soft
5th
21 Mar
Navan · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy
17 Mar
Down Royal · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
3rd
17 Mar
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
13 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
21th
13 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
9th
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
11th
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
10th
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
3rd
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
20th
11 Mar
Cheltenham · 1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft
4th
11 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
10 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
5th
10 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
15th
10 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
10 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
5th
10 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
15th