Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

The broader numbers tell a story of a yard finding its feet and building steadily. In three years they've sent out 222 career winners, and in the last 12 months alone they've reached 43 — roughly 1 in every 11 of their runners, or about 9% of the time. That win rate has dipped slightly from 13% last season, which is worth watching, but 460 runners in a single year also tells you this is a busy, ambitious operation that isn't short of horses or owners who believe in them.

Their most reliable ally in the saddle has been jockey Craig Nichol. Across 126 rides together they've reached the winner's enclosure 15 times — winning 12 in every 100, or roughly 1 in 8. That's a proper working relationship built over many afternoons, the kind where horse, jockey and trainer are reading from the same page. When conditions dry out, the yard also appears to sharpen up: on fast, dry ground they've won 1 from 6 races this season, a 17% hit rate that hints at horses who travel better when the ground isn't testing them.

Then there's Gamesters Guy. Of all the horses to have come through this yard, he stands out as the one who has clicked most consistently with Greenall and Guerriero's approach — winning 4 of the 13 races they've run him in together. That's nearly 1 in 3, which is the kind of figure that makes you sit up. Most yards would be delighted with that ratio from any horse in their care, let alone one they've partnered with so regularly.

Still only three years old as a training operation, this team has already shown they can handle a big day. The question now is whether the slight dip in form this season is just a natural fluctuation, or the start of something that needs attention. Either way, Cheltenham has already answered the most important question: these two can train a winner when it counts most.