Gay Kelleway

This season tells a stark story: just 2 winners from 74 runners, a win rate of around 1 in every 37 races. To put that in context, last year her win rate sat at 11% — roughly 1 in every 9 — so the drop to 3% this season is significant. Something has shifted, whether that's the horses available to her, the competition level, or simply the unpredictable run of fortune that every yard experiences at some point. The good news is that her record on fast, dry ground offers a small bright spot: 1 win from 9 races in those conditions, an 11% win rate that mirrors where her overall numbers were just twelve months ago. It hints that when conditions suit, the form is still in there somewhere.

What makes the partnership stats harder to explain is the relationship with jockey Luke Morris. Sixteen rides together and no wins between them is a combination that hasn't clicked yet — and 16 races is enough of a sample to say it isn't just bad luck. Similarly, the horse Irish Incentive has run three times for the yard without winning. Neither partnership has produced a result, and in a season where winners have been so scarce, those blanks add up.

Kelleway is still a relatively young trainer in career terms, and 68 winners in four years tells you the ability is there. The challenge now is finding a way back to the form that made last season look so much more promising.