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Thurles

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Thurles
Awaiting result
Jumps race · low hurdles Very underrated horse: Arslan About 2 miles Very soft, almost heavy ground 21 runners
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Arslan Very underrated horse
A. McGuinness · W. P. Mullins · 6yo · 11st 12lb · Official rating 120
£1 wins £1.20 · 51 Very strong chance
W. P. Mullins wins 33.5% of their races at this course
Trainer Form
51
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 6/5
£1 wins £1.20 · 51 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.20 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey wins at this course
Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • W. P. Mullins wins 33.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • W. P. Mullins's horses finish 60.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.

How odds work
Back after 108 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • N. Meade's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 105 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • E. McNamara's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • E. McNamara wins only 4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 192 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • T. Cooper's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 20% win rate at this course for T. Cooper. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • P. O'Flynn's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • R. Condon has a 4.2% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • P. J. Rothwell's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • B. Barry has a 2.7% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • M. Winters's horses finish their races 60% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • K. A Murphy has a 1% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • B. Maurice Walsh's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • J. G Gilligan has a 3.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 681 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Ms M. Flynn's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • E. O'Sullivan wins 3.2% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • L. P Cusack's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Last raced 56 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. Ahern's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 33.3% win rate at this course for J. Smith. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 3.4% career win rate for G. Ahern. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • N. Lee's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • N. Lee has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 459 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • The 4yo+ entry rules work in this horse's favour. A well-chosen race suggests a trainer with a plan.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 151 days off Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • Today's race is over 2m 0½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • 2m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • A 4yo+ race looks a good fit. Trainers who enter horses in the right races tend to have a plan.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • M. Winters's horses finish 60% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • J. Canavan has a 4.5% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.