Navan

·
Jimmy & Sheila Owens Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences About 2.1 miles Slightly soft ground 11 runners £9,900 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

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Bet £1, get £2.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 249 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • W. P. Mullins wins 23.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • W. P. Mullins has won 21.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Has won one of its three races, a career-best win at Fairyhouse in January, and has never raced on soft ground. Its two most recent runs were both 9th-place finishes at Cheltenham, beaten about 17 lengths each time. Its record is lightly raced, so the form is hard to judge.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (3 career races)

Bet £1, get £2.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 650 days
  • Won 3 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 15.6% win rate at this course for G. Elliott. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Has been off the track for 650 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Has the best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 3 races, but has been off the track for over a year, the longest absence here. Its only recent run was a 6th-place finish, and it has no wins from three previous runs on soft ground. The long layoff and the ground make this a hard horse to read from its record alone.
Absent 650 days (longest in field) Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)

Bet £1, get £3.75 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 197 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course once
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • W. P. Mullins wins 23.4% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • P. Townend wins only 17.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One of the few horses here with a win at Navan, though it has won only once from six races. Its most recent runs include a 4th-place finish at Punchestown and a 5th at Fairyhouse, and it has no recorded form on soft ground. Trained by Willie Mullins, but the record shows a modest level of results so far.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)

Bet £1, get £3.25 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 197 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has won at this course onceHas won on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • There is little recent data for G. Elliott's stable. It is hard to judge their current form.
TrackLab Insight
One of the few horses here with a win at Navan, and it has won once from three runs on soft ground, so the going suits it well. It finishes in the top 3 about one time in every two races, with a 2nd-place finish beaten only 0.8 of a length in its most recent run. It is a consistent performer, though it finished 9th in its last run at Cheltenham.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)

Bet £1, get £5.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 197 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell wins 10.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • K. Donoghue has a good 6.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Has finished in the top 3 in all three of its races, winning on its most recent run at Punchestown. The data does not show any form on soft ground, so its suitability for this going is unproven. Its record is lightly raced, so its consistency is encouraging but based on a small sample.
Lightly raced (3 career races)

Bet £1, get £6.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 222 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A 21.7% win rate at this course for E. Mullins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Took five races to win for the first time, and that win came at Fairyhouse in early April, with a pulled up at Punchestown in its most recent run. It has been running recently but has only one win from six races. The form is thin and the record shows it has yet to prove it can win regularly.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field

Bet £1, get £6.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 200 days
  • Won 3 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course beforeHas done well on this kind of ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Mrs J. Harrington has not had many runners lately, so their recent form is unclear.
  • S. Torrens has won 6.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • A 6.1% career win rate for S. Torrens. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
A course specialist at Punchestown, where it has won three of its four races there, and it won again there recently. Its form is strong on the track it knows best, but its only recent run away from Punchestown was an 8th-place finish. Its record at Navan on soft ground is not yet shown in the data.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a hood (covers its ears to keep it calm)
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • H. de Bromhead wins 13.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • H. de Bromhead wins only 10.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has one win and three top-3 finishes from four races, and its form has improved with a 3rd-place finish at Killarney on its last run. It has never raced on soft ground, so the going here is an unknown factor. Its data is limited, so its recent improvement is the main evidence available.
Never raced on soft ground

Bet £1, get £29.00 back if it wins

  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
  • Its first race in 251 days
Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • 251 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
TrackLab Insight
Has won two of its six races overall, and its latest win came at Gowran Park. Its most recent runs were 4th-place finishes beaten 73.5 lengths, and it has no wins from three runs on yielding ground. The tongue strap is a notable piece of equipment, but the recent results give little evidence it is ready to challenge here.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field

Bet £1, get £67.00 back if it wins

  • Raced again soon after its last run
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Mrs G. Callaghan wins only 6.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has one win from eight races, with its only victory coming at Gowran Park, and it ran a 7th-place finish just six days ago. It has a poor record on right-handed galloping tracks, with no wins from five starts there. It shows only a modest return on its career record.
Runs again after just 6 days

Bet £1, get £81.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 371 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Has raced at this course before
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • T. Dreaper has a 1.9% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 16 races, but it has won only once and has not raced for about four months. Its recent runs include a pulled up and an 11th, and it has a poor record on soft ground with no wins from its previous outings on that kind of going. The break and the ground both count against it here.
Most experienced (16 runs, field avg 7)
Full stats
  • Mighty Park (no. 5)
    Jockey M. Walsh: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 12lb
  • Bleu De Vassy (no. 1)
    Jockey J. Kennedy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb
  • Saint Baco (no. 8)
    Jockey P. Townend: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer W. P. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 12lb
  • Wingmen (no. 10)
    Jockey S. Ewing: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Elliott: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 12lb, official rating 138
  • Largy Star (no. 4)
    Jockey K. Donoghue: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb
  • Jet To Monte Carlo (no. 3)
    Jockey D. Meyler: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer E. Mullins: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 12lb
  • Powerful (no. 6)
    Jockey S. Torrens: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer Mrs J. Harrington: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 12lb
  • Time Is A Thief (no. 9)
    Jockey J. Gainford: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. de Bromhead: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Champagne Jury (no. 2)
    Jockey K. Buckley: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer G. Cromwell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 7, weight 11st 12lb
  • Royal Soldier (no. 7)
    Jockey C. Stone-Walsh: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer Mrs G. Callaghan: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 6, weight 11st 12lb
  • Workinonadream (no. 11)
    Jockey A. Balfe: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer T. Dreaper: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 8, weight 11st 5lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.