Navan

The closest thing to a proven performer here—two places from three runs (second and third), most recently second at Cork 13 days ago, just 1.2L adrift. Rated 4lbs below average but backed at 3.75; only horse in the field with back-to-back placed finishes, and she's trained by G M Lyons, a master of two-year-olds (204 wins together with Keane).

One run, one place (third at Cork 13 days ago), and she's never seen dry ground before—this is her first real test on a quick surface. Trained by Mrs Harrington's powerhouse yard (53 winners this season), but with just one race under her belt and the going against her, she's undercooked compared to those with multiple runs.

Top-rated by 7lbs over the field, but hasn't won in four races—that second-place finish at Naas shows he belongs in this company, yet recent form reads 6-6, suggesting he's regressing. The break of 39 days is long for a two-year-old, and he'll need to rediscover that narrow-loss form from 110 days back to trouble these rivals.

Never seen dry ground in his two races—both came on wetter surfaces—so this is genuinely unknown territory for him. Fourth most recently (13 days ago), but that wide eighth at Fairyhouse suggests he's still searching for his feet; lightly raced horses can surprise, but the form isn't convincing enough to back him here.