Market favourite and editorial pick, with the standout advantage: a previous Navan win on 11 July and consistent recent form (placed in 5 of last 6 races). However, he's never raced on dry ground—though the editors note the conditions suit him, this remains untested territory for a horse that races actively every 9-47 days.
Second-highest rated but wins roughly once every ten races and struggles on galloping tracks like Navan—a serious disadvantage for a 6-furlong sprint. Better suited to longer distances where he wins at 20%, making this a tricky fit despite decent form at Gowran Park recently.
Second in the market (7.5) with a 20% career win rate, but recent form is weak (4th at Curragh last time out) and the jockey-trainer combination has never won together. Wins one-third of the time on good ground when form is right, but momentum has clearly stalled here.
Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 5lbs but has never raced on dry ground—a real concern when conditions are fast like today. Won at Curragh 85 days ago but that form has evaporated with a recent 8th-place finish, and Colin Keane's mount faces a significant unknown stepping onto unfamiliar ground.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A Curragh specialist who has won both career victories at that track alone—but this is Navan, and she's yet to break her duck at any other course. Hasn't raced in 40 days and carries the weight of being the only horse in the field with no winning record outside one specific venue.
One of only two course winners here with a Naas victory, though he's won just twice in 29 races overall. Thrives at 5-6.5 furlong distances (50% win rate) and on good ground (22% win rate), but recent form is poor and he struggles on all variations of softer going despite today's fast conditions.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (81 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Navan specialist with 2 wins from 5 starts here—the strongest course record in the field—and won at this track just 81 days ago. Yet he's never raced on dry ground and prefers soft conditions (50% win rate on mud), making today's good-to-firm surface a genuine question mark over a horse with genuine course form.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)Never raced on dry ground
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (76 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and showed promise with a second-place finish at Dundalk 12 days ago on standard ground, but has never raced on dry ground in nine career races. Just one win from nine overall suggests she's still searching for consistency as a young horse facing an unfamiliar surface.
Carries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on dry ground
S. Tormey(7)
·
T. G McCourt
· 4yo
· 9st 5lb
· OR 74
FormTrack
4.9
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Best record at this exact trip (3 wins from 10 at 6f) but poor recent form with an 11th-place finish at Naas only 24 days ago. Cannot win on good ground (0 from 10 races) despite today's fast conditions, making his historical success at the distance irrelevant on this particular surface.
Best record at this trip (3 from 10)3 straight top-3 finishes
Curragh specialist with 3 wins from 11 races there, but this is Navan and her wins are confined to one track; she cannot win on standard or soft ground (0 from 12 combined). Despite a recent Curragh victory 40 days ago, she's yet to transfer that form elsewhere and faces a fundamental track mismatch.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field by 7lbs and cannot win on good-to-firm ground (0 from 6 starts)—today's dry, fast conditions are exactly what he cannot handle. Once a Class 1 winner at Doncaster in 2021, but recent form is dire (7th and 8th at Naas within a week in July) and represents genuine dead weight.
Three-year-old with only one win from seven races and hasn't run in 85 days—a long absence that compounds her inexperience. Never raced on dry ground, and her only victory came on softer going, leaving her completely untested in today's conditions.
Boasts the best career win rate in the field at 40% (2 wins from 5 races) but is returning from a 321-day absence—easily the longest layoff here. Never raced on dry ground and lost form badly when last seen (9th place at Dundalk), making this a high-risk comeback despite impressive raw statistics.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 321 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field with 49 races and 10 wins (20% win rate), but returns just seven days after an 11th-place finish at Leopardstown. Cannot win on good ground (0 from 7) and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks—both major obstacles at Navan today despite excellent form on standard ground elsewhere.
Most experienced (49 runs, field avg 21)3 straight top-3 finishesRuns again after just 7 days
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.