Lingfield

Only one race under her belt—a fifth at Haydock 20 days ago—so she's essentially a blank slate in a field where Kiah has already proven multiple times she can finish in the top three. The draw in stall 5 (high side) carries historical headwinds at Lingfield over this distance.

The market favourite with real form credentials: three races, three top-3 finishes, and a second place just 26 days ago by just 2.2 lengths. Never seen normal ground, but her pattern of consistent finishing suggests she's learning quickly and could break through. The only runner with consecutive quality efforts.

Two consecutive fifths (15 and 41 days ago) suggest she's hit a ceiling at this level—no wins, no places, and no upward trajectory from her recent efforts. David Simcock's yard is in form, but Thuritha herself needs to show she can improve to trouble Kiah, who has already placed twice.

Seventh on debut 50 days ago and untested on normal ground, so there's nothing here to build confidence with. Lightly raced and racing for the first time with this jockey-trainer pairing, making her a hard read in a field that already has a proven market favourite. Worth siding against.