Lingfield
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Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Named as the main danger to the favourite, Rogue Dynasty has solid course form — finishing second at Lingfield just over eight months ago — and wins roughly 1 in 3 races on good ground, which matches today's dry conditions well. The 7-furlong trip also suits, with a 20% win rate at this distance. A 73-day break is a slight worry, but the pieces fit well enough to make this a serious rival.
2nd in the market (4.5)
Trainer Quotes
May 2024
"Owned by The Rogues Gallery, she's a filly we bought from the Doncaster Breeze-Up who ticks a lot of boxes. She's probably going to end up being a 7f filly, but will start over six soon. 30-05-24"
TrackLab Insight
The race favourite and the editorial nap, Tattie Bogle arrives here in good nick — a win and a close second from its last two runs, racing just 12 days ago, the freshest horse in the field. The concern is a record of zero wins from six races on dry ground like today, though the editorial team clearly believes this horse can buck that trend on the turf. Form and confidence are on its side; the ground is the one question mark.
Market favourite (4.0)
TrackLab Insight
Ironist is one of the better-rated horses in this field and has been knocking on the door lately, finishing third, fourth, and fourth in its last three races. However, the big concern is a record of zero wins from four races on dry ground like today — that's a specific and worrying weakness heading into this. One to keep an eye on for a place, but that ground record is hard to ignore.
2nd highest rated (OR 69)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best record in the field at today's 7-furlong trip — two wins from seven races at this distance — makes Dandy G Boy an interesting runner on paper. But this horse hasn't raced for 168 days, which is the second-longest absence in the field, and a record of zero wins from four races on dry ground raises real doubts for today. Interesting, but rustiness and ground conditions stack up against it.
Best record at this trip (2 from 7)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Dutch Kingdom is the best career winner in the field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races overall — and has two wins from four races here at Lingfield, making it the standout course specialist. The problem is brutal recent form: three consecutive finishes of 8th, 12th, and 14th, all at higher class levels, and zero wins on dry ground in five attempts. The course record is genuinely tempting, but the current form is alarming.
Steps up 2 classes
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
Portman Blue has never raced on dry ground before, which means today is a step into the unknown on a key variable. Five races in without a win, and an 8th-place finish last time out at this very course doesn't encourage. The data is thin and the unknowns are many — difficult to recommend without more evidence.
Never raced on dry ground
TrackLab Insight
Six races in and still without a win, Amused hasn't exactly inspired confidence — and the market has noticed, drifting to a massive 34/1 despite carrying one of the higher ratings in the field. Crucially, this horse has never raced on dry ground before, so today's conditions are a completely unknown quantity. That combination of zero wins and an untested ground preference makes this very hard to back.
Never raced on dry ground
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 46 races compared to an average of 16 for rivals — H Key Lails has been remarkably consistent lately with three straight top-three finishes, including a near miss of just a nose at Chelmsford. This horse has also won at Lingfield before, which counts for something. The concern is an 86-day absence and a jockey-trainer partnership that hasn't clicked yet in 19 attempts together.
Best record on this ground (1 from 8)
Most experienced (46 runs, field avg 16)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin and returning from the longest absence of any runner — 236 days off the track. Five races, no wins, not even a top-three finish, and a new jockey who has never partnered this horse before. Everything about this profile points to a horse that needs more time and experience rather than one ready to trouble the leaders here.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 236 days (longest in field)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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