Killarney
·
Peadar's Pub Glenbeigh Flat Race
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 6/4
£1 wins £1.50 · 35 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 37.5% win rate at this course for Mr A. P. Ryan. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 7.6% career win rate for A. Slattery. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick sits narrowly ahead of Killeedy on ratings and has managed one placed finish from two races, including a respectable third at Roscommon just 16 days ago. However, he has never raced on normal ground before — this is untested territory for a lightly raced 4-year-old still searching for a breakthrough win.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
£1 wins £3 · 29 Strong chance
A 21.6% overall win rate for W. P. Mullins
29
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.6% overall win rate for W. P. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 22.1% win rate at this course for W. P. Mullins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- W. P. Mullins wins only 22.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 2.92 has raced just once, finishing fourth at Killarney 34 days ago — barely three lengths back — and is trained by W P Mullins, who boasts a 211-win win rate from 630 races with this jockey. A single outing is thin evidence, but the trainer's record carries real weight here.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (2.92)
15
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Mr H. Lillingston has a 0% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has been absent for nearly two years (776 days), an enormous gap that most racehorses never recover from — his only outing came 21 months ago when he finished second by a whisker. At 8.0, the question is not just whether he can find form, but whether his legs remember how to race after such a long layoff.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 776 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 15.6% win rate at this course for S. Curling. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Finishing 4th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- S. Curling wins 8.1% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old with just one race under his belt, finishing fourth at Roscommon 16 days ago, and he too has never encountered normal ground conditions. His trainer has a respectable win rate, but Rocky Alfonso himself remains a complete unknown after that single outing.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 5. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Ms G. M. Dorgan wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old has run four times without a single win or place, finishing fifth in three of those outings, and has never raced on normal ground before. At 13.5, she is a fading prospect — the window for improvement at this age has largely closed.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old making their racecourse debut is genuinely unusual — most horses race for the first time as two or three-year-olds, so this late arrival raises questions about what has delayed him this long. With zero prior form and drifting to 51.0, he is essentially a complete unknown stepping into a competitive field at a staying distance.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- P. M. Lynch has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Like Con Did It, Stary Notions is a 6-year-old debuting for the first time, which is well outside the normal age window for a racecourse introduction. There is no prior form whatsoever to assess, making him a lottery ticket at 23.0 odds in a staying race over two miles and a furlong.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- J. F O'Neill has a 1.7% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Seven races and still seeking that first win or placed finish — this 5-year-old has a blank record and finished fifth most recently, beaten by nearly 70 lengths. At 101.0, the odds reflect a horse who has yet to show he belongs in this company.
Outsider at 101.0
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- D. Gerard Hogan wins 7.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Only 12th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, zero wins and zero places — most recently he trailed home 12th at Galway, beaten by nearly 87 lengths, before a sixth-place finish at this course. At 51.0 and still without a single top-three finish, he represents poor value in a staying test.
Lightly raced (2 career races)