Hexham
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Paxton's Are Case IH's No1 Dealer Handicap Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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24
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 24 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Jardine's horses finish their races 67% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With £5,281 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- Coming from Ireland is not ideal for this type of race. It is not a big factor, but worth knowing.
£1 wins £3.33 · 23 Strong chance
C. Williams's horses finish their races 100% of the time
23
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Williams's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With £5,281 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- A 0% record at this course for C. Williams. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is £5,281 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Duncan's runners finish 33% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A low win rate on this ground from 9 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Coming from Great Britain is not ideal for this type of race. It is not a big factor, but worth knowing.
£1 wins £9 · 11 Could surprise
S. England's horses finish their races 75% of the time
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. England's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A prize fund of £5,281 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Coming from Ireland is not ideal for this type of race. It is not a big factor, but worth knowing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £5,281 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- This is a 5yo+ race, and the horse fits the entry rules well. A horse that fits the rules often means the trainer picked the race on purpose.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Coltherd's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Coming from Ireland is not ideal for this type of race. It is not a big factor, but worth knowing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £5,281 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A weight of 168 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Bedi's horses finish 40% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- J. Bedi has a 3.7% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With £5,281 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
£1 wins £80 · 1 Long shot
G. Rutherford's horses finish their races 25% of the time
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Rutherford's horses finish their races 25% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 3.6% record at this course for E. Austin. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.