Goodwood

Kissmehoneyhoney has never raced on dry ground and her record is thin at just 3 career races, making this a genuine unknown despite the one Leicester win. She's drifted sharply in the market from 1.1 to 4.7, suggesting market doubt — and her eighth-place finish here 119 days ago is hardly encouraging for a return to Goodwood. With no proven form on fast turf and only two months of racing experience, she's a risky proposition at this level.

Glenna is the lowest-rated horse in the field by 5 pounds and carries the least weight, but she brings three straight top-3 finishes and a 33% win rate over this exact 1m3f-1m4f trip — the same as Liveinthelight. Her recent win at Windsor shows she can deliver, and at 8.5 odds she offers better value than Ammoony if you're backing the form pattern. However, her overall 12% win rate reveals her inconsistency across varying conditions.

Kelly Burn won just 63 days ago at Yarmouth but hasn't raced on dry ground in any of her 7 attempts, making this a step into the unknown. She's partnered with jockey Ashley Lewis for the first time and is 3 months removed from a run, which combined with a modest 14% win rate suggests she's not the answer here. The 5.4 odds look generous for a horse showing little recent momentum.

Liveinthelight is the strongest form horse here with a 38% win rate (best in the field) and three wins from her last six races, including back-to-back victories over 1m3f-1m4f distances. She's proven she thrives at this exact trip with a 60% win rate over the distance, but her odds of 9.8 have drifted hard from 1.1, and a third-place finish just 15 days ago suggests she may need this run. She's genuinely well-suited but the market has cooled on her.