Curragh

Highest-rated runner by the editorial verdict with a best career win rate of 33% (two from six), but she's failed to win in her last three races and has a poor record on good-to-firm ground—a potential concern if conditions firm up. Her narrow defeats at Curragh and Ascot in recent weeks suggest she's thereabouts, but she hasn't quite got the job done when it matters most.

Two wins from four races on normal ground—the only horse in this field with a proven record on today's conditions—and she's strung together three straight top-three finishes including a recent win at Naas. Her 6.2 odds look fair for a filly who arrives here in hot form and genuinely suits the going.

One race, one win—but that's all the data there is, and crucially he's never encountered normal ground before, making this a genuine unknown. With odds drifting to 12.0 and limited racing experience, he's an unproven commodity stepping up significantly in class.

Has won once but recently finished 5th and 4th in his last two races, suggesting he's struggling to find form at this level. His only victory came at the Curragh back in March, but the recent trend is downward—he's rated well below the top contenders here.