Chepstow
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Cre Run Farm Handicap Stakes 0-60 (Arab RAce)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
1
Zayin Sentinel (A)
An 8-runner race works well for this horse
13
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- K. O'Neill has won 8.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
A complete unknown stepping onto a racecourse for the very first time, so there is simply nothing to judge here — no wins, no losses, no clues. What works in this horse's favour is the low draw: stall 1 is statistically the best place to be at Chepstow over this trip, with low draws winning roughly 1 in 6 races here. The cheekpieces suggest the trainer expects this horse to need some encouragement on debut.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- L. Morris wins 10.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
Another first-timer with zero form to study, so we're all guessing equally on this one. Drawn in stall 4, Ghayah sits in the low-draw bracket that historically performs best at this course and distance. Like several others in this field, cheekpieces have been fitted — suggesting her trainer wants to make sure she focuses on the job first time out.
Racecourse debut
3
Victoria (A)
8 runners today is a good number for this horse
13
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's ground suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- The trainer's overall record is not the strongest. Getting a horse ready and picking the race matter, and the numbers are not great.
TrackLab Insight
At six years old, Victoria is one of the later debutants in this field — most horses are racing regularly by their third or fourth year, so arriving this late is unusual. There is no form to assess whatsoever, and the seven-pound claimer in the saddle adds another layer of uncertainty. Drawn in stall 3, she does sit in the low-draw bracket that gives horses the best historical chance at Chepstow over this distance.
Racecourse debut
4
Sassy (A)
This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse
13
Why this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and racing for the very first time — Sassy is the joint-oldest debutant in this field and one of the most unusual first-timers you'll see anywhere. There is absolutely no form to go on, and at this age the wait for a racecourse appearance is genuinely puzzling. Drawn in stall 5, she sits in the mid-draw range, which historically wins only around 1 in 10 races at Chepstow over this trip.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- This trainer has a strong record overall. A good trainer helps with getting the horse ready and choosing the race.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
Another horse making its first racecourse appearance with nothing in the form book to analyse. Drawn in stall 7, this five-year-old sits in the mid-draw bracket, which is statistically the weakest starting position at Chepstow over this distance. A debut runner with an inexperienced seven-pound claimer on board means there are several unknowns to weigh up before putting faith in this one.
Racecourse debut
6
Shakura Sky Zayin (A)
T. Vaughan wins 12.3% of all their races
12
Why this score
- T. Vaughan wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- T. Vaughan has a 7.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A debut runner with no form to study, though the jockey-trainer combination has worked together twice before without a win, which is a small note of caution. Drawn in stall 2, this horse does benefit from one of the best positions on the track at Chepstow, where low draws have historically outperformed the rest of the field. At five years old, there has been plenty of time to prepare for this moment — whether that preparation shows is the only question.
Racecourse debut
7
Zizania Du Mazet (A)
8 runners today is a good number for this horse
12
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 10.0% overall win rate for C. Bishop. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- C. Wallis wins 6.8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Like every other runner here, Zizania Du Mazet has never raced before, so this field is remarkably level when it comes to form evidence — there simply isn't any. The jockey-trainer partnership has tried six times together without a winner, which is worth noting even if today is a fresh start. Drawn in stall 6 and wearing cheekpieces, this five-year-old is positioned in the mid-draw range, which is statistically the second-weakest bracket at Chepstow over this trip.
Racecourse debut
8
Aloof (A)
8 runners today is a good number for this horse
11
Why this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's ground suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old, Aloof is the oldest horse in this field and the oldest debutant by some margin — racing for the very first time at an age when many horses have long since retired is genuinely extraordinary. The one standout fact is that Aloof carries the lowest weight in the race at 117lbs, a full 23lbs less than the top weight, which in theory gives this horse a significant physical advantage over rivals. The high draw in stall 8 is the least favourable position at Chepstow historically, winning only around 1 in 17 races over this course and distance.
Carries lowest weight in field
Racecourse debut