Cheltenham

·
Karndean Designflooring Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race(listed Race) (Registered As The Dorothy Paget) (GBB Race)
Starts in
26min
Bumper · flat race for young jumps horses About 2 miles Good ground Elite-level race 13 runners (2 non-runners) £11,888 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot

18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.

Bet £1, get £3.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This is a racecourse debut from Dan Skelton's powerful yard, which is one of the strongest operations in training right now. No form to assess, but Skelton's win rate gives the yard genuine credibility — she could easily outrun debut rivals who come from less accomplished establishments.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £3.50 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 82 days
  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • H. de Bromhead has won 13.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Won on debut at Ballinrobe just 82 days ago and carries the market's shortest price at 11/4 — she's the only unbeaten horse among the experienced runners. With just one race, there's limited evidence to hang on, but a winning debut and the big-race yard of Henry de Bromhead suggest the market has reasonable grounds for confidence.
Lightly raced (1 career races) Market favourite (11/4)

Bet £1, get £9.50 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A 21.3% overall win rate for H. Cobden. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 0% record at this course for S. G. Carey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Won on debut at Punchestown just 32 days ago and attracted strong support, shortening to 6/1 in the market. She's the most recent winner in the field and the only debut winner to be ridden by a top jockey (Harry Cobden), though first-time pairings can be unreliable and one win is still one win.
Lightly raced (1 career races)

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • D. Killahena & Graeme McPherson has won 16.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Won on debut at Stratford 40 days ago to sit alongside Elegantemente and Eastern Whisper as the only unbeaten runners in the field. This is her first time on normal ground after that win elsewhere, and with only one race completed, the 14/1 price reflects the risk that one success doesn't prove consistency.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (1 career races)

Bet £1, get £12.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
  • Its trainer's horses are winning a lot lately
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • O. Murphy has won 18.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • S. Bowen is riding well, with 2 winners from 3 recent rides. Good recent results are a good sign.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Another racecourse debut with no form, but she's trained by Olly Murphy, who has the best win rate of any trainer in this field at roughly 1 win in 4 races. That strong yard credentials may justify the 8/1 price, though a debut is still a debut.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £15.00 back if it wins

  • Won 1 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 7.1% overall win rate for D. Gerard Hogan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • D. Gerard Hogan has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
She broke through at Listowel 50 days ago and has now strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes — a 1-2-3 record that stands out sharply in this field. Our model rates her above her 12/1 price mainly because of that winning form and consistency over recent weeks, though she has only three races to her name and could still regress.
Lightly raced (3 career races) 3 straight top-3 finishes

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 78 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • P. A. Fahy has won 6.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 0% record at this course for P. A. Fahy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, no wins, but two of those finishes were in the money — including a near-miss second just 0.2L away at Sligo. The most recent third at Down Royal came just 78 days ago, so she has form in the book, but the jockey-trainer pairing has never combined for a winner.
Lightly raced (3 career races)

Bet £1, get £21.00 back if it wins

  • Its first race in 183 days
  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Sheehan wins 17.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • B. Aprahamian has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
One race, one second-place finish at Aintree — beaten 9.5 lengths — but no wins yet after 183 days away. At 66/1, the long price reflects a horse with minimal form and limited opportunity to prove anything beyond that single narrow loss.
Lightly raced (1 career races)

Bet £1, get £26.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
  • Wearing a tongue strap (helps its breathing)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • J. McConnell wins 6.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
  • This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A racecourse debut with no form, though the pedigree by Mastercraftsman carries some promise of stamina and racing ability. The 28/1 price suggests the market doesn't rate the breeding or trainer John McConnell highly enough to shorten confidence.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £21.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • N. King wins 11.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • A 10.0% overall win rate for J. Quinlan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • N. King wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A racecourse debut at age 4, which is older than most starters, and no form to evaluate. At 18/1, the price reflects both the unknown debut and the modest record of the Neil King-Jack Quinlan pairing.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £19.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • T. Bellamy wins 11.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • A 13.3% win rate at this course for K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This is a racecourse debut with no form to assess, so everything is unknown. The trainer Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls have a decent win rate, which offers some confidence in their judgment, but debut runners are always a lottery.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £19.00 back if it wins

  • Its first ever race
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • A 12.9% overall win rate for N. Scholfield. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • N. Scholfield has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A racecourse debut with no form and no track record for the Nick Scholfield-Jonathan Burke pairing, who have yet to combine for a winner. At 20/1, she represents the lowest-confidence debut option based on yard record and jockey experience.
Racecourse debut

Bet £1, get £51.00 back if it wins

  • Won 0 of its last 5 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Why this score
  • F. O'Brien has won 15.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • T. Broughton wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Raced once, finished fourth 17 days ago, and has never won or finished in the top 3 — she's the worst-performed horse in the field. At 70/1, the long price reflects that poor debut and the fact she's stepping onto normal ground for the first time.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (1 career races)
Full stats
  • Soleretta (no. 15)
    Jockey H. Skelton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Skelton: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Elegantemente (no. 3)
    Jockey D. O'Keeffe: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer H. de Bromhead: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Eastern Whisper (no. 2)
    Jockey H. Cobden: wins 25% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer S. G. Carey: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
  • Gypsy Sky (no. 4)
    Jockey R. McLernon: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Killahena & Graeme McPherson: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Miss Master (no. 7)
    Jockey S. Bowen: wins 67% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer O. Murphy: wins 50% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • She Was The One (no. 14)
    Jockey D. King: wins 50% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer D. Gerard Hogan: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Clovelly Charm (no. 1)
    Jockey S. Flanagan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer P. A. Fahy: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
  • Island Jetaway (no. 5)
    Jockey G. Sheehan: wins 100% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer B. Aprahamian: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Kshira Sagara (no. 6)
    Jockey A. Harvey: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer J. McConnell: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Orderandout (no. 10)
    Jockey J. Quinlan: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. King: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Pether's Angel (no. 11)
    Jockey T. Bellamy: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Sarah's Sister (no. 13)
    Jockey J. Burke: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer N. Scholfield: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 4, weight 11st 2lb
  • Miss Spec (no. 8)
    Jockey T. Broughton: wins 0% of rides (last 14 days)
    Trainer F. O'Brien: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
    Age 5, weight 11st 2lb
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.