Carlisle
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Carlisle
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 14/1
£1 wins £14 · 21 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- F. Foster's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- F. Foster has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- F. O'Brien's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Mr A. Tufnell wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This race has 18 to jump, and this horse handles them well. Good jumpers save energy at each obstacle and land running.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mrs C. A. Coward's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A 17.2% overall win rate for Mr J. Wright. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 0% record at this course for Mr J. Wright. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.88 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 2m 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.