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The Green Man

The Green Man has not won since December, but there is something worth watching here. The seven-year-old won at Newcastle on the 13th and has been active ever since, running six times in the past month with two third-place finishes to show for it—solid, consistent form that suggests the horse is still doing the job even without a victory. That Newcastle win came ten months ago, which is a long drought, yet The Green Man keeps turning up and staying competitive. That matters in racing.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Acclamation
Mother
Lydia Becker
Owner
The Dalby Family And P Kirby
Official rating
69

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
53
Career races
7
Wins
13.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
45.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Philip Kirby's yard at East Appleton has found a home for this horse, and there is a real partnership with jockey Alistair Rawlinson, who rides The Green Man whenever possible and has won three races from thirteen together—a 23% win rate that towers above the horse's overall 13% win rate of 7 wins from 53 races. When Rawlinson is in the saddle, something clicks. The Green Man is also a course specialist at Doncaster, where it has won twice from five races, a far better return than anywhere else. That is the kind of edge worth noting.

The clearest pattern is ground. The Green Man thrives when the track is fast and dry, winning 2 races from 10 on those conditions—double its overall rate. On softer ground, the horse struggles badly. A return to fast ground with Rawlinson aboard at Doncaster or another favoured track could be when The Green Man reminds everyone why it won at Newcastle and why a seven-year-old that has earned seven wins across its career is still worth following. The recent form shows a horse still capable of running well; the statistics show where it wins best. That is all a racing person needs to know.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%)
✔ Course specialist at Newcastle: 3 wins from 16 starts (19%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newmarket in 6 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
4 Jul
6th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good · 7 runners
20 Jun
4th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
12 Jun
16th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 21 runners
19 May
3rd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
1 May
3rd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
20 Apr
2nd
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
12 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
24 Feb
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
31 Jan
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
23.1%
Win rate
3/13
Wins / rides
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Wins / rides
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Kevin Stott Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
16 3 wins, 2 seconds, 5 thirds, 6 other 12 Oct 18.8%
York
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 12 Jun 16.7%
Newmarket
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 1 third, 3 other 24 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 2 wins, 1 third, 2 other 20 Jun 40%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 10 Mar 50%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Apr 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Feb 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 2 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Aug 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 third 1 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 third 5 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%