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Sword Maker

Sword Maker is a three-year-old with genuine credentials at the right tracks and distances, though recent form suggests the horse may be hitting a plateau. The record reads 3 wins from 9 races — a respectable 33% win rate — but what matters is where those victories came and what has happened since.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Pinatubo
Mother
Whimbrel
Owner
Godolphin
Official rating
95

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
9
Career races
3
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
55.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
7 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The last win came at Salisbury on 2 October 2024 in a Class 2 race, and that is now a year in the past. Over the last six races, Sword Maker has won twice but also accumulated three fifth-place finishes, a pattern that hints at inconsistency. The most recent run was just yesterday, and the last two before that produced a fifth and a fifth again — not the form of a horse building momentum.

Where Sword Maker does genuinely excel is on normal ground at middle distances between five and six and a half furlongs. On those terms, the horse has won three of five races — a 60% win rate that is far better than the overall career numbers suggest. Ground conditions and track layout matter enormously in racing, and this horse has clearly found a comfort zone. The same applies to Salisbury itself, which has been a happy hunting ground: one of the three career wins came there, and that Class 2 victory shows the horse is capable of beating decent opposition when everything lines up.

Trained by Saeed bin Suroor at Newmarket, a yard that has sent out 15 winners this season, Sword Maker has access to top-class facilities and expertise. The challenge now is finding another race where the distance, ground, and track suit — because if Sword Maker gets those three things right again, it has shown it can win at a solid level.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 60% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Oct
5th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
26 Sep
5th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
30 Jan
2nd
meydan
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
9 Jan
5th
meydan
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
2 Oct
🏆 Won
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 4 runners
12 Sep
🏆 Won
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
16 Aug
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
30 Jul
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
11 Jul
10th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Oisin Murphy Current jockey
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Sep 0%
meydan 2 1 second, 1 other 30 Jan 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 12 Sep 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 30 Jul 100%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 win 2 Oct 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 third 16 Aug 0%