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Scarfo

Over 41 races, the five-year-old has managed just two victories — a rate of roughly one win in every twenty attempts — along with eleven places that suggest he often runs a respectable race without quite getting the job done. His last outing came just yesterday, finishing fifth, which means he is actively campaigned and still in work.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Soldier's Call
Mother
Midsummer Breeze
Owner
Ian Muir
Official rating
55

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
41
Career races
2
Wins
4.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
21 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse's two wins have been spaced far enough apart to show genuine inconsistency rather than any clear pattern. His breakthrough came at Wolverhampton in July 2024, but his most recent victory arrived much later, at Chepstow in June 2026 — four months back. Since that Chepstow success, Scarfo has not won in six subsequent races, though his recent form reads 5-4-3-3-6-2, showing he regularly finishes in the frame rather than trailing home. This tells you something important: he is not a complete non-performer, but he lacks the finishing quality to convert regular efforts into wins.

The numbers suggest Scarfo performs best when stepped up to middle distances between seven furlongs and a mile, where he has won once from 12 races — a respectable 8% win rate at those trip. At his typical racing level of Class 6, however, the picture is starker: just one victory from 26 races (4%), which hints that even at this modest grade, he struggles to get his head in front often enough to justify his place in the yard. Bernard Llewellyn's team has been productive this season with twelve winners, but Scarfo has not been one of them in recent months. With Jason Hart, his regular jockey, the partnership has managed nothing from five rides together, suggesting no particular spark between horse and rider.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 13 starts (8%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 8% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Ffos Las in 8 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Sep
5th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
21 Sep
4th
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
31 Aug
3rd
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
18 Aug
3rd
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
9 Aug
6th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
16 Jul
2nd
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
23 Jun
2nd
Ffos Las
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
15 Jun
3rd
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
6 Jun
🏆 Won
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
11 May
9th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
Charlie Tucker Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Shay Farmer
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Elizabeth Gale
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
11 1 win, 1 second, 9 other 11 May 9.1%
Chepstow
Galloping
10 1 win, 1 second, 3 thirds, 5 other 31 Aug 10%
Ffos Las
Galloping
8 1 second, 3 thirds, 4 other 27 Sep 0%
Bath
Undulating
2 2 other 4 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 5 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jan 0%