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Recon Mission

Recon Mission is a ten-year-old who has spent nearly a decade knocking on the door without ever quite finding the breakthrough that most racehorses dream of. With three wins from fifty-five races, he wins roughly once every eighteen attempts — a win rate that tells you everything about a horse at his level. He is the kind of faithful journeyman who shows up, runs his race, and picks up the occasional cheque without ever threatening the big time. Yet there is something quietly remarkable in the detail: he won at Bath just last week, which means he is not a fading veteran but a horse still capable of finding the winner's enclosure in 2026.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodiac
Mother
Ermine Ruby
Owner
Dr S Fleming
Official rating
57

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
56
Career races
3
Wins
5.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
10 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Jack Doughty has been his most regular partner, though the partnership has yielded just one win from twelve races together. That single success came early in their time together and suggests a relationship of moderate chemistry rather than genuine synergy — the jockey has ridden him nearly once a month for a time, yet they have not clicked into that dangerous rhythm where horse and rider begin to anticipate each other's moves. His last six races paint a picture of a horse grinding away in modest company: a sixth-place finish most recently, followed by a fifth, two thirds, a first, and another sixth. The wins he has found have mostly come in lower-grade races, and he has never won at Class 5 level despite contesting fifteen of those races — a sobering statistic that underlines how tightly the door shuts the moment expectations rise.

Trained by Tony Carroll at Cropthorne in Worcestershire, Recon Mission operates in a yard that knows how to saddle winners — Carroll has sent out 136 of them this season — but this particular horse remains the exception rather than the rule. At ten years old and still active after his Bath success, he is the sort of campaigner who might easily keep racing for another year or two, forever chasing that elusive fourth win and another payday. He is unlikely ever to trouble the smart money, but he is proof that longevity and honest effort count for something in racing, even if the silverware rarely follows.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 12 starts (8%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 10 starts (10%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Brighton in 7 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Left-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Oct
14th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 14 runners
13 Sep
6th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
22 Aug
3rd
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
7 Aug
3rd
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
22 Jun
5th
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
9 Jun
6th
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
18 May
6th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
29 Sep
2nd
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
23 Sep
3rd
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Wins / rides
Luke Morris Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/7
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Mollie Phillips
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
20 1 win, 5 seconds, 4 thirds, 10 other 22 Aug 5%
Bath
Undulating
7 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 3 other 8 Oct 14.3%
Brighton
Undulating
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 7 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 21 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 10 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 15 Sep 33.3%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 3 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 14 Jul 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 27 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Oct 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Jul 0%