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Percy's Lad

Percy's Lad is a horse who has finally worked out what he's good at. At eight years old, he's won just 5 of his 29 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 starts—but the pattern of those victories tells a clearer story than the raw numbers suggest. He loves Chester, he loves dry ground, and he loves a certain trip, and when all three conditions line up, he becomes genuinely difficult to beat.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Sir Percy
Mother
Victory Garden
Owner
Alan Kerr
Official rating
89

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
29
Career races
5
Wins
17.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
43 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His last win came at Kempton Park four weeks ago, but his real stronghold is Chester, where he holds a course record and has won 2 of his 8 races there. That's a win rate of one in four at a track he clearly understands. Trainer Daniel Kubler has noted that Percy's Lad runs well on Chester's particular surface and has been targeting the track's May meeting specifically because the programme there suits him. His most impressive victories have come at the top level too—two Class 2 wins at Chester, the most recent in May 2024, showing he can handle serious company when conditions favour him.

The jockey Richard Kingscote has ridden him to 3 wins from 9 races together, a 33% win rate that suggests a real understanding between horse and rider. Kingscote has praised Percy's Lad's attitude in the saddle, noting that he's become more tractable and easier to ride as he's matured, which matters when you're trying to coax a best from a horse that isn't an obvious talent. The Kubler yard, based in Lambourn, has had a strong season with 34 winners, so Percy's Lad has experienced hands working with him.

Recent form shows he's competitive—13th, 5th, 1st, 6th, 2nd, 6th in his last six races—and still actively racing despite his age. Percy's Lad may never be a headline-maker, but he's the kind of horse that makes money for people who understand what he is: a specialist who excels at Chester, on fast ground, at 1m1f to 1m2f, and shows up reliably when asked.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Sep
13th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 14 runners
18 Aug
5th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
12 Aug
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · 12 runners
11 Jul
6th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
29 Jun
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
21 May
6th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
6 May
13th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
16 Apr
13th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
4 Aug
4th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
13 Jul
15th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Wins / rides
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Chester
Tight
8 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 11 Jul 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 5 Sep 25%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 16 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 18 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 6 May 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Apr 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 second 28 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 6 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 21 May 0%