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Percy's Lad

Percy's Lad is the kind of horse that makes one track feel like home. The eight-year-old trained by Daniel and Claire Kubler at their Lambourn yard has won 4 races from 26 in his career — roughly 1 in every 6 and a half — but strip away the broader numbers and a more interesting story emerges. Two of those four wins have come at Chester, and both were top-level Class 2 races. For a horse competing regularly at that standard, winning even 2 from 8 at a single track is a real pattern worth noticing. Chester is a tight, unusual circuit — almost circular, far shorter than a typical flat track — and not every horse takes to it. Percy's Lad clearly does.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Sir Percy
Mother
Victory Garden
Owner
Alan Kerr
Rating
87

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
4
Wins
15.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The other thing that gets him firing is dry ground. On fast or firm conditions he has won 2 from 6 races, a 33% win rate that is comfortably better than his overall record. He also hits his best form over a mile and one or two furlongs — at that trip he has won 2 from 5 races, which is 40%, a genuinely impressive conversion rate at the level he is running. When the three factors align — Chester, fast ground, the right distance — he becomes a serious proposition.

His regular partner Richard Kingscote has been aboard for 3 of those 4 career wins, and the pair clicked from the very start. At Great Yarmouth in April 2022, Kingscote described Percy's Lad doing it well and being entitled to win on the strength of his younger form — high praise, and it proved accurate. When the horse won at Chester in May 2024, his trainer Claire Kubler was quick to credit a great ride, and noted that Percy's Lad had already shown at the same track a year earlier that he could handle an awkward draw. That kind of track intelligence in a horse is rare and useful.

He has not won in his last six races, and his most recent Chester success was over two years ago, so questions about whether that level is still within reach are fair. But the Kubler yard has sent out 34 winners already this season — this is a team in form — and the trainer has spoken about Percy's Lad running particularly well at Newmarket shortly before a Chester return, suggesting the horse himself is in good health and possibly more settled in his temperament than before. At eight, he is an experienced campaigner who knows what he likes. Whether he can find it one more time at the track he loves is the question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 40% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
6th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
29 Jun
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
21 May
6th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
6 May
13th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
16 Apr
13th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
4 Aug
4th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
13 Jul
15th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 20 runners
20 Jun
11th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 29 runners
10 May
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
18 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
8 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other 11 Jul 25%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 16 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 29 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Apr 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 6 May 100%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 6 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 27 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 21 May 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 second 28 May 0%