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Patagonia Girl

There is something about Chester that brings out the best in Patagonia Girl. The four-year-old has raced there six times and won twice — a record that makes her one of the more reliable performers at a track where consistency is genuinely hard to come by. Chester is a famously tight, left-handed circuit, barely wider than a country lane in places, and not every horse takes to it. Patagonia Girl clearly does.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Australia
Mother
Katiesheidinlisa
Owner
D R Passant E Spragg
Rating
83

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by Hugo Palmer at his yard in Malpas, Cheshire — which has sent out 67 winners already this season — she has built a career record of 3 wins and 7 places from 14 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 5 starts, or 21% across the board. That is a decent return, but the Chester numbers tell the more interesting story: 2 wins from 6 races there is a 33% win rate, and it suggests she is a horse who genuinely knows her way around that track. Her most recent win came at Chester in May, around two months ago, and she has raced as recently as yesterday, so she is firmly in the thick of her season.

Her first career win came at Salisbury in June 2025, and Palmer had been optimistic about her trajectory even before that. Speaking last October, he flagged her as a potential contender for the Cheshire Dancer — a race with black type on offer, meaning it carries prestige beyond the prize money — and pointed to the fact that she was still physically growing as a reason to expect improvement. Horses who develop late can keep getting better into their four and five-year-old seasons, and Palmer clearly felt she had more to give. That belief appears to have been well placed.

After her Chester win in May, Palmer spoke warmly about jockey Jack Nicholls, who had a difficult draw to work with but judged the pace of the race shrewdly to get the result. Palmer also noted her breeding — by Australia out of a Camelot mare — which keeps options open for her future, both on the track and beyond it. She is a horse with a career total that sits comfortably at Class 4 level for now, but with a trainer who believes she has the scope to go further, and a track where she already looks at home.

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Jul
8th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
27 Jun
5th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
30 May
7th
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
11 Apr
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 13 runners
30 Jul
11th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
11 Jul
3rd
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
28 Jun
🏆 Won
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
10 Jun
🏆 Won
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
30 May
5th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Jack Nicholls(3)
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
6 2 wins, 2 thirds, 2 other 10 Jul 33.3%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 30 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 win 10 Jun 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 11 Apr 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Nov 0%